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WINNING THE MENTAL GAME 3 creative approaches to market analysis Brett Steenbarger One of the joys of blogging about trading is the opportunity to discover interesting people doing worthwhile research... (more) What the VIX can tell you about today's market action Brett Steenbarger Not all movement is opportunity, but you can't have opportunity without movement. (more) How would you like to own this stock? Brett Steenbarger This stock pretty much tripled in price, retraced, and now is knocking at the door of all-time highs. (more) The changing face of market information Brett Steenbarger Blogging has become an important source of publishing, owing to its timeliness and ready availability. (more) Finding a framework for thinking about markets Brett Steenbarger There is a tremendous latent interest in the trading world to learn more about how professional traders assess supply and demand in real time. (more) Why it's so easy to lose money in the markets Brett Steenbarger Doing what comes naturally is not what makes you money as a trader. (more) 10 life lessons I've learned from the markets Brett Steenbarger Trading has taught me much more than patterns of supply and demand. (more) How trading strategy and trading psychology fit together Brett Steenbarger One of the things I try to emphasize to traders is that many minutes and hours of preparation can go into a single good trade idea. (more) Approaching trading with an empty mind Brett Steenbarger Once a trader forms an opinion, he or she is more likely to overweight information consistent with this view than information that is contradictory. (more) What short-term traders need to know Brett Steenbarger Here's a favorite technique of mine that helps me track the short-term trending (or non-trending) of the ES market. (more) Tracking the last hour of trading Brett Steenbarger In the early portion of the recent bull market, there was net buying during the last hour of trading. Since 2005, we have seen net selling in the final hour. (more) A lesson in trading psychology Brett Steenbarger If your setups are valid, there are only two kinds of trades... (more) Why last week's price action is bullish Brett Steenbarger Science, properly executed, is a blending of the creative and the rigorous. (more) There are two kinds of traders Brett Steenbarger Average traders change when they need to. Great traders, like great companies, seek improvement before things have gone wrong. (more) Making friends with market emotions Brett Steenbarger I have personally worked with a number of traders who have made one million dollars or more in a year for multiple years. (more) How to prepare for the day's trading Brett Steenbarger If we know what to expect in a market day, it provides us with a yardstick by which to measure the trading session. (more) Boom and bust: what we can learn from the SOX Brett Steenbarger Semiconductor stocks (SOX) have been weak of late... (more) A different kind of market indicator -- time Brett Steenbarger Most market indicators identify the presence of a particular market condition... (more) So you want to write a market blog Brett Steenbarger Blogging has grown wildly in popularity over the past several years, with over 50 million blogs registered. (more) Why traders lose their discipline Brett Steenbarger When traders lose money, they often attribute the problem to a lapse of discipline. (more) Why it's valuable to track the market herd Brett Steenbarger I've found it worthwhile to track herd-like behavior in the S&P 500 Index... (more) How to catch a market turn Brett and Devon Steenbarger It isn't everyday that the market gives you a textbook pattern... (more) A simple way of achieving maximum returns Brett Steenbarger How important is stock selection to overall investment performance? (more) Three pillars of expertise Brett Steenbarger The number of traders who seek expert results is great; the number who are actually pursuing a developmental path toward expertise is relatively small. (more) 4 keys to successful trading Brett Steenbarger Ability to take heat. Risk management. Patience and selectivity in trading. (more) Combining historical analyses with intraday setups Brett Steenbarger Here's a nice trade that set up on Wednesday morning. (more) Finding opportunities in new markets Brett Steenbarger The explosion of ETFs has offered traders--quite literally--a world of trading markets. (more) The most important theme in today's markets Brett Steenbarger What market theme is most important going forward? (more) Why you should follow market correlations Brett Steenbarger When sectors are moving in unison, near-term results are bullish. (more) The greatest emotional problem facing traders Brett Steenbarger Do traders behave differently from gamblers? Research suggests not. (more) How to anticipate market volatility Brett Steenbarger The recent market volatility has taken some traders by surprise. (more) Relative Range: a promising market indicator Brett Steenbarger Rather than use the raw values for indicators to gauge the market, it makes more sense to compare the current values to a recent norm. (more) Why last week's decline is bullish Brett Steenbarger A 2.5% drop in a high volatility market may be a much more routine event--and elicit a far more moderate response--than a 2.5% drop in a low volatility market. (more) Why Thursday's decline wasn't a surprise Brett Steenbarger Let's take a look at the market action leading up to Thursday's drop... (more) Why this week's action in the Dow is important Brett Steenbarger Here's a historical look at what happens to the Dow after it has risen for five straight weeks. (more) Taking a look at the big picture Brett Steenbarger The Dow has made bull market highs this week, so I thought it might be worth looking at the big picture to see where we stand. (more) Option Volume: Profiting from the volatility trade Brett Steenbarger Traders are accustomed to viewing option volume through the lens of put/call ratios. (more) Here's how to turn a market edge into profits Brett Steenbarger Thanks to last Friday's gain of over 5% on 1.8 times average 20-day volume, Google was on my watch list. (more) How you can profit from trading patterns Brett Steenbarger Markets possess themes, and deciphering them can prove quite profitable... (more) 5 things you should know about trading psychology Brett Steenbarger The overlap between trading and psychology is complex. (more) The difference between Gold and Dollars Brett Steenbarger What a difference a denominator makes. (more) How to manage the psychological risks of trading Brett Steenbarger and Adam Mann The best psychological treatment aligns psychological risk--the risk we perceive--with actual market risk. (more) Trading to win vs. trading to not lose Brett Steenbarger and Adam Mann Once we have a profit in a trade, we have something to lose... (more) 2 things you should look for in early trading Brett Steenbarger Current volume and volatility are correlated with future movement. (more) Use this indicator to track NASDAQ sentiment Brett Steenbarger One of my favorite ways of informally testing the value of an indicator is to check its predictive performance... (more) 12 more observations on life and the markets Brett Steenbarger Here are a dozen new observations... (more) Trade retracements not trends, here's why Brett Steenbarger Since 2003, we have seen such counter trending after periods ranging from five hours to five weeks. (more) How you can profit from market reversals Brett Steenbarger Short-term moves in the S&P tended to reverse direction rather than continue... (more) How you can profit from a simple statistical idea Brett Steenbarger Many market relationships are interactions and not main effects... (more) 2 things you must know about every market Brett Steenbarger Are you better off trading FX or the S&P 500? Here's what my latest research suggests... (more) This new research shows why trading has become so difficult Brett Steenbarger Every market has its personality, and that personality is defined by two traits... (more) Why it's been so hard to make money in the S&P 500 Brett Steenbarger September, 2001 was a historic occasion for the stock market, but not for the obvious reason. (more) This research shows why the market seems to go nowhere Brett Steenbarger Judging from my email inbox and the traders I know personally, 2006 has not been a kind year so far. (more) These numbers can tell you if rising interest rates bullish or bearish Brett Steenbarger Is the stock market is responding less favorably to rising rates than during the days we were worried about deflation. (more) Here's what you can learn from the first hour of trading Brett Steenbarger I wanted to see the odds of the market making its daily high or low during the first and last hour of trade. (more) Winning the race for trading profits Brett Steenbarger What makes highly successful traders different from others? (more) If you want to predict the US market, look to Japan Brett Steenbarger Might there be lead-lag relationships between U.S. indexes and those of other nations? (more) Here's an indicator you can bank on Brett Steenbarger 3 things that matter to trader performance: Strategy, Tactics and Mechanics. (more) What you should know about this bull market Brett Steenbarger ...it is clear that the bull market has been becoming a more selective affair over time.  (more) Speculative sentiment and what it means for the market Brett Steenbarger I have begun investigating the equity put/call ratio... (more) These numbers can tell you if the market will rally Brett Steenbarger One of the joys of market research is the opportunity to discover new and interesting relationships... (more) Will the Selling Continue? Short-Term Sentiment Can Tell You Brett Steenbarger I've been examining the role of breadth and momentum in the continuation and reversal of market rises and declines... (more) Having what it takes to succeed Brett Steenbarger The role of a good psychologist is to comfort the afflicted and afflict the comfortable... (more) Predicting big stocks by following small ones Brett Steenbarger Do big upward moves in the Russell lead to bullish short-term returns in the S&P? (more) What does GOOG mean to Gold? Brett Steenbarger Few stocks of late have commanded as much attention as Google... (more) The current action is bullish, here's why... Brett Steenbarger I spent time over the weekend investigating historical precedents for the action we've been seeing... (more) Will the market be volatile today? Brett Steenbarger For short term traders, volatility is one measure of potential opportunity. (more) Want to predict stocks? Look to bonds! Brett Steenbarger I began taking a close look at the relationship between the performance of the S&P500 and corporate bonds... (more) What happens after the runup? Brett Steenbarger Monday's market was notable for the fact that we registered 1432 new 65-day highs... (more) Turning your trading around (part 3) Brett Steenbarger Several elements of brief therapies are helpful to traders seeking change... (more) Turning your trading around (part 2) Brett Steenbarger In the first article in this series, we took a look at how the loss of perceived control underlies most emotional problems. (more) Turning your trading around Brett Steenbarger The last couple of end-of-year periods I've noticed something interesting... (more) Will we ever break out of this range? Brett Steenbarger (more) Here's what to expect this week Brett Steenbarger Is it worth trading the final week between the Christmas and New Year's holidays? (more) What might January bring? Brett Steenbarger Perhaps it would surprise you to learn that we are tightly range bound to a recently unprecedented degree. (more) Measuring sentiment in real-time Brett Steenbarger Readers of my columns and website know that the NYSE TICK is one of my favorite market measures. (more) Will small cap stocks lead the way? Brett Steenbarger On a day-to-day basis, the small caps seem to influence large cap performance... (more) Does Fed day still matter? Let's find out Brett Steenbarger December's Fed meeting could still hold the promise of surprise if there is a change in wording or policy... (more) How to find stocks you can profit from Brett Steenbarger My research suggests that what you trade may be every bit as important to profitability as how you trade. (more) What happened to Nasdaq trading? Brett Steenbarger On the surface of it, NASDAQ trading--and trading the tech stocks specifically--is the best it's been in years... (more) Does breadth tell us anything that price doesn't? Brett Steenbarger It sounds very impressive if the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 80 points with advancers leading decliners by a 2:1 margin... (more) Look for what seems out of place Brett Steenbarger A lot has been out of place in the recent market... (more) Is the current strength bullish? Let's take a look... Brett Steenbarger Should we be trend followers going forward, or is the market overbought and ripe for decline? (more) It's 'what' you trade that matters Brett Steenbarger The majority of trading advice in articles and books emphasize how traders should trade. Rarely do we see serious consideration to what traders should trade. (more) Here's why it's important to follow market leaders Brett Steenbarger Good research provides useful answers, but the best research asks promising questions. (more) Is this another bubble? This indicator can tell you Brett Steenbarger So is the news too good to be true? Is this March, 2000 or are we still prepared to party like it's 1999? (more) Thinking like a peak performance trader Brett Steenbarger Seeing the market in terms of meaningful patterns makes it easier to generate trade ideas... (more) What you can learn from 15 minutes of trading Brett Steenbarger Opening volume provides a meaningful clue as to volatility. (more) Here's how great traders develop Brett Steenbarger On Thursday we saw the S&P 500 make a four-day low early in the trading session and then rally sharply to make (and close at) a multi-day high. (more) Improve your trading performance by studying experts and novices Brett Steenbarger A large body of research examines skilled performance in various fields by comparing experts with novices... (more) Trader Performance and Epistemology Brett Steenbarger Like poker players who know their opponents and their odds, great traders have a feel for the market—and a head for the facts. (more) Trader Performance and Market Vision Brett Steenbarger My research suggests that breakout moves are more likely to continue their breakout direction if the broad market participates... (more) Mastering this technique will improve your trading Brett Steenbarger One of the themes I touched upon in the session was the importance of pattern recognition to trading success... (more) Here's a way to predict strong closes... Brett Steenbarger The NYSE TICK was displaying net buying interest and price extremes tend to occur early and late in the day... (more) Changing How We Cope Brett Steenbarger Many traders are aware of behavior patterns that consistently lose them money and can't understand why they repeat these patterns despite their awareness. (more) Coping With Risk and Uncertainty Brett Steenbarger How do you cope with the risk and uncertainty that are built into markets, and are you coping effectively? (more) The Habit of Mindfulness Brett Steenbarger When I am trading poorly, I stop observing the market... (more) Use this indicator to pick the right long entry Brett Steenbarger Over the past four weeks, the cumulative number of declining stocks has exceeded advancers by over 3000 issues. (more) This is how you can become a succesful trader Brett Steenbarger When I came on board at a professional trading firm, I made sure the new traders had a realistic platform for simulated trading... (more) Want to improve your trading every day? Try this... Brett Steenbarger This is one of my shortest articles, and it may be one of my most important. (more) This is how 'mean reversion' can increase your trading profits Brett Steenbarger I recently conducted some research on mean reversion, examining market data in SPY... (more) This tool can help you understand where the smart money is flowing Brett Steenbarger I looked for signs of vigorous buying among Dow Industrial issues during the first few minutes of the trade. There were none. (more) An important heads-up for today's action Brett Steenbarger What happens when intermediate-term new lows greatly exceed new highs? (more) This is the best short-term sentiment gauge in trading Brett Steenbarger There is no better sentiment measure in the short run than the willingness of market participants to hit bids or lift offers. (more) Here's a snapshot of my trading system Brett Steenbarger You don't need to be a genius to figure out that a market that cannot trade above its average price and is not attracting net buying participation is not ready for its green light.  (more) Here's why there is a bullish bias for the coming week... Brett Steenbarger & Henry Carstens After Tuesday's down market, Henry now has a green light for the S&P 500 that extends from Tuesday's close through the second profitable close or Wednesday afternoon (more) Use this indicator to select the best trades Brett Steenbarger In my research, the correlation between intraday volume and volatility is well over .70. That means that slow volume generally denotes a narrow trading day. (more) Are you taking full advantage of the trading information available? Brett Steenbarger As a trading psychologist, I am vitally concerned with the ways in which we process information... (more) What Is The Most Important Trading Psychology Indicator? Brett Steenbarger A reader recently asked my opinion regarding the most valuable market indicator. Without hesitation I responded, "Whether volume is occurring at the market's bid or offer price." (more) Here's What Happens When The Market Gaps Higher Brett Steenbarger We're looking to open higher this AM on the heels of strength in the Euro markets. I looked at upward gap opens in SPY from 11/02 - present (N = 698)... (more) This is how you find an edge in trading Brett Steenbarger The goal of statistical analysis is to prepare the mind for moves that have tended to occur in the past. Such analyses function as a heads-up for traders... (more) Here's how interest rates and oil drive stock prices Brett Steenbarger As a discretionary trader who nonetheless utilizes statistical work to gain an edge, I will be looking for sell setups intraday, all else being equal... (more) I'm Using This Indicator To Anticipate Intraday Turns In The S&P Brett Steenbarger The key to understanding intermarket analysis... (more) Here's How You Can Work Out Who Is In The Market? Brett Steenbarger Most short-term traders monitor price and volume, but a surprising number aren't aware of who is in the marketplace at a given time... (more) These 2 Techniques Can Help Improve Your Trading Brett Steenbarger I have found the greatest benefit of sound and light technology in two trading psychology applications... (more) The Numbers Show That Buying Weakness Works On A Long-Term Basis Too Brett Steenbarger Buying multi-year strength has made investors money only during secular bull times, but buying multi-year weakness has consistently rewarded investors willing to take risks. (more) Here's How You Trade 'In The Zone' Brett Steenbarger Most traders have experienced that sense of being "in the zone" where they feel as though they are at one with the markets... (more) Is The Market In A Bull Or Bear Phase? The Answer May Surprise You Brett Steenbarger Find Out About The Market's Multiple Personality Disorder (more) Why You Need Your Own Trading Psychologist Brett Steenbarger Most independent traders have to make do with self-help and networking with peers. However, I am willing to be a kind of consulting psychologist for TradingMarkets.com readers... (more) What Poker Teaches You About Being A Consistently Successful Trader Brett Steenbarger In Part II of his When To Stop Trading series, Brett Steenberger teaches you a lesson that every trader can learn from successful poker players. (more) Do You Want To Anticipate The Market's Next Move? Watch This Indicator Brett Steenbarger The correlation between stocks and bonds is worth keeping in mind as the market deciphers the intentions of the Fed. (more) One Ingredient You Must Have For Trading Success Brett Steenbarger The key ingredient in reaching your goals is having a target and keeping it in focus at all times. The trading journal, in serving as a daily business plan, provides just such a target. (more) When To Stop Trading - Part One Brett Steenbarger It makes no sense to be seeking 2-3 tick profits when the market is unlikely to move 2-3 ticks during his time frame (more) What Do The Current Volatility Readings Mean For Traders? Brett Steenbarger We are, indeed, in a period of historically low volatility. (more)

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