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Why the Dollar Index looks set to breakdown
By Dave Floyd | TradingMarkets.com | August 9, 2006

Dave Floyd is a professional FX and stock trader based in Bend, OR and the President of Aspen Trading Group. Dave's approach to FX combines technical and fundamental analysis that results in trades that fall into the swing trading time frame of several hours to several days. For a free trial to Dave Floyd's Daily Forex Alerts click here.

EUR/USD - it appears a move above 1.2900 is nearing. We are watching the 1.2855-75 area as a potential entry zone for longs as we expect prices to pause/pull-back over the next few hours. Upside targets, as of now, are seen at 1.2940 and 1.2970

USD/JPY - 114.00 looks like a possibility again. The failure last night at the 115.75 level suggests that 114.75 will be broken, thus exposing 114.00. Given the short-term oversold conditions, we are looking to short into the 115.10-20 area

USD/CHF - notice anything about USD/CHF? It is back below the 1.2260 level and this time we feel confident that a move towards 1.2105 is in the cards. Like the pairs noted above however, we want to let prices come to us before looking to get short. We see 1.2230-50 as the ideal short entry zone.

Naturally, these views are dependent on the path of the Dollar Index (DXC) – the chart below suggests that the key 84.40-45 level may be near breaking down – hence, the scenarios outlined above will play out.

Receive a sampling of our real-time FX research and trade alerts FX Desktop Ticker

As always, feel free to send me your comments and questions.

Dave

Aspen Trading Group
http://www.aspentrading.com/


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