There are a few different strategies that a currency trader can develop:
scalping, day trading, swing trading, carry trading and news trading. Many forex
traders focus on one particular trading strategy known as News Trading. The
basic idea behind trading the news is to profit off the volatility created by
economic news announcements. One of the advantages of trading currencies is that
the forex market is open 24 hours a day from 5pm EST on Sunday until 4pm EST
Friday. Interest rates are the general driver for the markets direction however;
Economic data tends to be one of the most important catalysts for short-term
movements in any market. This is particularly true in the currency market, which
responds not only to U.S. economic news, but also to news from around the world.
Every news trader uses an economic calendar to pinpoint the time and dates of
different news releases. Usually, there are no less than seven pieces of data
are released daily from the eight major currencies or countries that are most
closely followed. So for those who choose to trade news, there are plenty of
opportunities. But, as a general rule, since the U.S. dollar is involved in 90%
of all currency trades, U.S. economic releases tend to have the most pronounced
impact on the market.
Trading news is harder than it may sound. Not only is the previous number
important but the projected or forecast number plays a bigger role. Also, some
releases are more important than others; this can be measured in terms of both
the significance of the country releasing the data and the importance of the
release in relation to the other pieces of data.
When trading news, you first have to know which releases are actually
expected that week. These are the most important economic releases for any
country:
1. Interest rate decision
2. Inflation (consumer price or producer price)
3. Retail sales
4. Unemployment
5. Trade balance
6. Industrial production
7. Consumer confidence surveys
8. Business sentiment surveys
9. Manufacturing sector surveys
The two most important and heavily traded news announcements are the U.S.
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) and the FOMC Rate Decisions. The Non-Farm Payroll
statistic is released at 8:30am EST every first Friday of the month. The
non-farm payroll accounts for approximately 80% of the workers who produce the
entire gross domestic product of the United States. This is used to assist
government policy makers and economists determine the current state of the
economy and predict future levels of economic activity.
The FOMC meets eight times per year to set key interest rates. The meetings
of the committee, which are secret, are the subject of much speculation on Wall
Street, as analysts try to guess whether the Fed will tighten or loosen the
money supply, thereby causing interest rates to rise or fall.
Depending on the current state of the economy, the relative importance of
these releases may change. For example, Inflation may be more important this
month than trade or interest rate decisions. Therefore, it is important to keep
on top of what the market is focusing on at the moment.
As you can clearly see in the chart below that the two news announcement
during the New York session created a substantial amount of volatility, the
second data release came in better than expected and was extremely dollar
positive pushing the pair down by about 100 pips in the first hour following the
announcement. This type of movement is not unusual and provides traders the
opportunity and desire to trade the news.

Now that the fundamental ideas of trading the news have been discussed, let’s
also discuss the actual trading aspect of this particular strategy. As we all
know, all the knowledge in the world will not help you if you are not able to
benefit from it. The biggest problem that most forex traders experience when
trading the news is execution, or getting their orders filled. The reason for
this is because of a deal desk. News traders usually execute with either an
auto-click software program or they try to place trades manually through their
platform.
The way a standard dealing desk or market maker works is that the controller
pairs together opposite market orders. As we all know forex is a zero sum game
which means that for every winner there is also a loser. The problem with news
trading out of a deal desk is that it cannot execute fast enough, this is the
reason for things like slippage and no fills. News traders are frequently viewed
as a liability by clearing firms and their liquidity providers because they are
manipulating the price feed. As a result many dealing firms that use a deal desk
model to execute trades will not allow news trading, this is called a no fly
zone, which means that for a specific time before and after the data release no
execution is available. The solution to this problem is a dealing firm that has
an ECN model with STP (strait through processing) execution.
Alexander Nekritin is a
professional trader with over 8 years of experience. His specialties include
risk management and system development. Alexander is the CEO of NCMFX, Inc.,
which is a forex introducing broker and an educational company that helps suit
client’s needs in forex trading. He offers a
Forex broker review
to his clients that assists in finding an appropriate clearing firm. Alexander
has a degree with a concentration in Investment Banking and derivative
instruments from Babson College in Massachusetts.