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Charles, the markets ended last week with two days of selling. Can you comment on it?
Thursday's big drop was notable because volume was not impressive. In other words, the trading activity resembled more of a buyer's strike than the onset of fear.
Friday was different with more than 5.8 billion shares exchanging hands on the NYSE. Volume among several of the big financial companies, such as Citigroup (NYSE: C | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) and Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM), was far above average. Moody's (NYSE: MCO | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) warned that it might downgrade Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS), and that only intensified fears about worsening problems in the financial sectors.
How much a factor was oil?
It was a big factor. Crude ended the week at $140.21 after nearly crossing above $143 per barrel. Libya threatened to cut production and speculators are looking at oil as one of the few ways to make to money by going long in this market. Obviously, higher oil prices are bad for transportation companies and for consumers. AAA was widely quoted as predicting fewer people would drive over the Fourth of July Weekend.
At some point, oil will pull back sharply in price. However, as the case with any bubble, it is impossible to say how oil will rise before it finally drops.
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