Analyst Anthony DiClemente also lowered his stock price target to $29 from $40, and his 2009 earnings estimate to $2.25 a share from $2.56 a share.
The stock, a component of the Dow industrials, closed Thursday at $30.90.
Lehman cut his rating of the entertainment industry to negative from neutral, citing the belief that a structural shift created by continuous technological change could disrupt the economic models of film and TV studios.
DiClemente said he expects the deteriorating U.S. economy to function as a "significant drag" on Disney's theme park business heading into 2009.
"Based upon our research, the cost of a flight to Orlando has doubled over the past 6 months, likely restricting many value vacationers who may have been relying upon reduced airfare options," DiClemente said in a research note.
He also sees "difficulties" for the TV broadcasting industry, with advertising for the broadcast networks continuing to lose share to cable networks, Internet and outdoor ads. Ratings for ABC have also fallen in the mid- to high-teen percentage range, compared with double-digit declines for NBC and CBS.
DiClemente also said Disney's stock trades at a "significant premium" to its peers, which he believes "may not be justifiable." Tomi Kilgore tk1
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