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China Construction Bank predicts recession of China's real estate sector

Mon. August 18, 2008; Posted: 05:04 AM
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BEIJING, Aug 18, 2008 (Xinhua via COMTEX) -- CICHF | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating -- China Construction Bank said in a latest report that China's real estate market will be stagnant in housing price and declining in sales volume, and the bank is speeding up collecting due property development loans.

The report pointed out that not only the sales of commercial house dropped remarkably, but also the growth of down payment and advanced payment, part of the capital recourse of the property development, declined to 14.4 percent in June from 35 percent in April.

Guo Shikun, general manager of research department from the bank, said if the trade volume shrank further in the rest of the year, the situation of housing price slash would get worse due to capital press.

According to the report, although the housing price in China's 70 large and medium-sized cities increased 9.2 percent in the second quarter year on year, and the land price climbed 10.8 percent, the growth dropped 1.8 percentage points and 5.7 percentage points, respectively, compared with in the first quarter, and the growth of housing price declined to 8.2 percent in June from 11.3 percent at the starting of this year.

Statistics showed that regional housing price volatility has increased and the growth slowdown of housing price has widened.

Of the 70 large and medium-sized cities, the number of cities saw over 10 percent year on year housing price rise declined to 12 in January from 25 in June.

The number of cities saw month on month housing price drop in the three months of second quarter were 4, 12, and 16, respectively.

On the other side, the central bank may continue its stringent monetary policy in the rest of the year, which will pose great challenge to the real estate sector. Endtiem

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