Since inception in 1988, the S&P 500 has outperformed the Zacks #5 Rank List -- Stocks to Sell Now by 81% annually (+2% versus +11%). While the rest of Wall Street continued to tout stocks during the market declines of the last few years, Zacks told investors which stocks to sell or avoid.
Here is a synopsis of why WM and LEA have a Zacks Rank of #5 (Strong Sell) and should most likely be sold or avoided for the next one to three months. Note that a #5 Strong Sell rating is applied to 5% of all the stocks in the Zacks Rank universe:
Washington Mutual Inc.'s (NYSE: WM). Share price has continued to trade lower in reaction to sustained weakness in the housing market. WaMu's second-quarter loss of $3.34 per share was significantly above expectations. The company's credit portfolio and residential portfolio's are a source of concern for investors. Management is forecasting loss provisions to peak in 2008, leading analysts to set full-year loss estimates at $5.79 per share, down from $3.11 per share a share, earlier.
Lear Corp. (NYSE:LEA) reported an 85% drop in second-quarter earnings on lower demand and pricing pressures in North America. The maker of automotive seats also trimmed its 2008 adjusted pretax profit forecast to $550 million to $600 million from its prior expectation of $600 million to $640 million. Net sales guidance was lowered to $15 billion down from $15.3 billion. Management does not expect industry conditions to improve in the near term, and anticipates conditions worsening. Analysts have cut their full-year EPS expectations by about a dollar to $2.83 per share.
Here is a synopsis of why TRMS and F have a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) and should also most likely be sold or avoided for the next one to three months. Note that a #4 Sell rating is applied to 15% of all the stocks ranked by Zacks;
Trimeris Inc.'s (NASDAQ: TRMS | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) second-quarter profit fell 87%, largely due to waning sales of its AIDS drug Fuzeon and a large restructuring charge. Quarterly revenue was $4.7 million, about half the amount generated last year. Shares recently sank more than 16%, and currently trading near their 10-year low. Analysts have switched their neutral stance to a bearish view on the stock and slashed their 2008 EPS forecast by almost half, to $0.36. Speculation has it that the troubled company is up for sale but is yet to attract takers.
Ford Motor Co (NYSE: F | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) posted an $8.7 billion second-quarter net loss, as higher gas prices continues to effect demand for large trucks and SUVs. U.S. sales recently fell to a 16-year low, and automakers continue to struggle amidst tight credit markets. Earlier this year, Ford abandoned a longstanding goal of returning to profitability in 2009 and said it does not expect an economic turnaround until 2010. The company has a large inventory, which leads to weak pricing, while liquidity issues remain a concern. In the last seven days, analysts have dropped their 2008 forecast by 5 cents to $1.79 per share.
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About the Zacks Rank
Since 1988, the Zacks Rank has proven that "Earnings estimate revisions are the most powerful force impacting stock prices." Since inception in 1988, #1 Rank Stocks have generated an average annual return of +30%. During the 2000-2002 bear market, Zacks #1 Rank stocks gained +43.8%, while the S&P 500 tumbled -37.6%. Also note that the Zacks Rank system has just as many Strong Sell recommendations (Rank #5) as Strong Buy recommendations (Rank #1). Since 1988, Zacks Rank #5 stocks have underperformed the S&P 500 by 81% annually (+2% versus +11%). Thus, the Zacks Rank system allows investors to truly manage portfolio trading effectively.
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Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should always research companies and securities before making any investments. Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security.
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