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Renminbi Depreciation May Stir Trade War

Mon. December 08, 2008; Posted: 06:19 AM
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BEIJING, Dec 08, 2008 (SinoCast Daily Business Beat via COMTEX) -- BISGF | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating -- China's renminbi witnessed real effective exchange rate appreciation of 1.33% in November, much lower than 3% in the previous month, according to Bank for International Settlements.

A UBS economist says that the slow-down in renminbi appreciation is likely to stir strong criticism from the US and Europe because the relaxed exchange rate policy is expected to cause negative impacts on the export of the two parties.

The central parity rate of renminbi against US dollar is predicted to fall to 7 in 2008 and 6.8 in 2009. By December 3, the exchange rate had been 6.8845, nearly the lowest in nearly five months.

However, the US did not criticized too much on the exchange rate at the fifth U.S.-China Strategic Economic Dialogue, so market participants forecast that moderately renminbi depreciation indicates the US' compromise.

In spite of that China's commerce minister Chen Deming announces that the nation will not boost export by renminbi depreciation, many experts believe that renminbi depreciation will be an important topic of the nation's central economic work conference to be held from December 8 to 10.

Source: www.cnstock.com (December 08, 2008)

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