Chesapeake Energy Corp. Further Trims Natural Gas Production in Current Low Price Environment
CHK | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating -- Chesapeake Energy Corp. announced it has elected to curtail approximately 400 million cubic feet (mmcf) per day of its gross natural gas production due to continued low wellhead prices.
In a release on April 16, the company noted the reduction includes the 200 mmcf per day curtailment of natural gas production previously announced on March 2. Chesapeake has resumed 7,000 barrels per day of oil production from previously curtailed oil wells.
The company's 400 mmcf per day curtailment represents approximately 13 percent of Chesapeake's current gross operated natural gas production capacity. The wells that have been curtailed are primarily located in the Mid-Continent and Barnett Shale regions. Until natural gas prices strengthen, the company plans to limit production from most newly completed wells in the Barnett and Fayetteville shales to 2 mmcf per day and in the Marcellus and Haynesville shales to 5 and 10 mmcf per day, respectively, in addition to the approximate 400 mmcf per day curtailment.
The company noted it is able to make this decision because of its strong financial condition and extensive natural gas hedging positions. In addition, because of the steeply declining production profile of new natural gas wells and the upward trending slope of the NYMEX natural gas futures curve, Chesapeake believes deferring production and revenue to future periods with higher natural gas prices creates greater shareholder value than selling production into the current unusually low priced natural gas market.
The following tables and graphs illustrate the company's analytical support for deferring production in the two areas where it has focused its curtailments to date, the Mid-Continent and Barnett Shale regions. Each analysis compares an estimated base case production and cash flow profile to a deferred case production and cash flow profile assuming full curtailment for two months based on NYMEX forward strip natural gas prices and regional forward basis estimates as of April 14.
Mid-Continent: 2 Month Deferral Economics
Deferred Volume (bcf) 11.8
Incremental Pre-tax PV0 (millions) (1) $31.5
Incremental Pre-tax PV10 (millions) (2) $10.2
Rate of Return (3) 23 percent
Payout (months) (4) 36
Discounted Payout (months) (5) 47
See Graph 1: Mid-Continent Curtailment Production Profiles
See Graph 2: Mid-Continent Forward Price Estimates
See Graph 3: Mid-Continent Estimated Incremental Cash Flow Profile
Barnett: 2 Month Deferral Economics
Deferred Volume (bcf) 11.1
Incremental Pre-tax PV0 (millions) (1) $19.3
Incremental Pre-tax PV10 (millions) (2) $7.7
Rate of Return (3) 29 percent
Payout (months) (4) 24
Discounted Payout (months) (5) 30
See Graph 4: Barnett Curtailment Production Profiles
See Graph 5: Barnett Forward Price Estimates
See Graph 6: Barnett Estimated Incremental Cash Flow Profile
Management Comments
Aubrey K. McClendon, Chesapeake's Chief Executive Officer, commented, "As a result of recession-related reduced demand and abundant U.S. production, natural gas prices have remained soft in recent months. However, we believe substantially lower drilling activity and natural reservoir depletion will work to rebalance U.S. natural gas markets by late 2009 or in early 2010. This recovery is already partially reflected in the NYMEX natural gas forward strip, but we believe it will become much more pronounced in the months to come as U.S. natural gas production declines begin to accelerate and the economy begins to recover. Our analysis indicates that the incremental returns for deferring revenue to future periods are very attractive and may in fact become exceptional once demand recovers and the NYMEX curve increases.
"We believe that Chesapeake's strong financial condition and extensive hedges provide us with the operational and financial flexibility to make prudent natural gas revenue maximization choices. We will continue to work to protect and enhance shareholder value, particularly in the current challenging economic environment. Additionally, Chesapeake and other producers remain well positioned to readily meet increased market demand for natural gas as the economy recovers and as power generation and transportation markets further expand their use of natural gas in the years to come."
Chesapeake Energy Corp. is an independent producer of natural gas in the U.S.
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