London-listed Chilean copper miner Antofagasta PLC (ANTO.LN) Wednesday said there are "grounds for optimism" that the global economic downturn has bottomed out and sees signs that copper supplies may not meet demand in future years.
"When worldwide demand recovers its normal rate of growth, a shortfall in mine supply could again develop. We believe that there could be strong support for the copper price in the years to come," Chairman Jean-Paul Luksik told shareholders at the company's annual general meeting.
The comments were more upbeat than Antofagasta's past assessments of the market, or those of some peers.
"Antofagasta at its AGM today showed more optimism in the copper industry compared to its FY2008 result presentation," Credit Suisse said in a research note.
Luksik said that stronger than expected buying from China had supported a recent copper price recovery and, looking ahead, marginal improvements in business and consumer confidence, coupled with improvements in financial markets, provides grounds for optimism for a broader recovery.
The miner's longer-term outlook was even more positive. Luksik said a lack of investment now would mean a tighter copper market in the future.
"Many projects have been deferred due to financing difficulties or due to lower profitability forecasts," Luksik said, noting estimates that more than 2 million metric tons of new copper mine capacity originally planned to be constructed by 2012 had been postponed or canceled.
Credit Suisse estimates $50.1 billion in copper project delays or suspensions in response to ongoing weak global demand and funding issues. Miners also have cut about 4% of global production due to softer demand.
"Copper has the best potential upside given the difficulties in re-starting production back online and the chronic supply issues ... plaguing the existing industry," Credit Suisse said.
Antofagasta operates three copper mines in Chile. It also has transport and water divisions.
Company Web site: http://www.antofagasta.com
-By Jeffrey Sparshott, Dow Jones Newswires; +44 (0)207 842 9347; jeffrey.sparshott@dowjones.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
06-10-09 0850ET

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