Quantcast
 
New book by Larry Connors Click here Improve your trading - See how


 

FirstAlert(tm) 7/30: BrokenChina?

Thu. July 30, 2009; Posted: 04:02 AM
Stocks RSS
Jul 30, 2009 (FinancialWire via COMTEX) -- CVX | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating -- (Comment on this article at http://www.financialwire.net/2009/07/30/firstalerttm-730-brokenchina/)

July 30, 2009 (FinancialWire) (By Philip Holmes) -- Stocks ended down on Wednesday as investors reacted to a 5% plunge in the Shanghai Composite Index and noises that Chinese banks may soon pull back on lending. Big U.S. shares, including Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX), Yahoo and Caterpillar Inc. (CAT), also ended lower.

The Dow Jones industrial average shed 26 points, to end the trading session at 9,070.72. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index lost 4.47 points, for a 975.15 close, while the Nasdaq Composite Index ended down 7.75 points, at 1,967.76.

In an alarming turn, the Shanghai Composite Index dropped 5% during Wednesday's trading. Hong Kong's Hang Seng shed nearly 2.4%. What investors in China and around the world are mulling are moves by leading Chinese banks to curb lending. This could hamper recovery in the larger global economy.

Chinese banks have been partying like U.S. banks were a few years ago. According to CNNMoney's Paul R. La Monica, the country's central bank, the People's Bank of China, made 7.37 trillion yuan ($1.1 trillion) in new loans during the first half this year.

La Monica points out that Chinese banks "issued 4.91 trillion yuan in new loans during all of 2008. China's lending target for all of this year had been just 5 trillion yuan."

Now there is worry that Chinese banks may suffer the kind of spectacular busts that U.S. banks have experienced. The prudent course would be to cut back on lending, but this is exactly what the rest of the world doesn't want to hear right now. Chinese investors don't seem to happy about it, either.

But, as La Monica's sources point out, a rise in loan losses at Chinese banks may cause China to sell off a share of the $800 billion in U.S. treasuries it now holds. Think of a Paulson/Geithner style bank bailout, only with a ready means of paying for it.

This could wreak havoc on the U.S. economy, in particular, as Treasury prices would plunge and interest rates would rise dramatically. Not a pretty picture.

Damned if they do and more damned if they don't: if Chinese banks reign in lending it could hamper recovery; if they don't, it could lead to another round of financial meltdown in the global economy.

The FirstAlert(tm) Events Calendar showcases MSFT Analyst Meeting; NWK, THMD, STRL, NG at CapStone Investments 3rd Annual Small Cap Investor Conference; PPHM, ECTE, NEOP at Jesup & Lamont Securities Growth Stock & National Sales Conference.

The FirstAlert(tm) "Money Index" is an indicator of the depth of market direction or indirection. While not always including the same stocks, the NYSE/NASDAQ/AMEX 25 Most Actives and NYSE/NASDAQ/AMEX greatest Percentage Losers and Percentage Winners (weighted against pure monetary loss/gain) indicate the direction in which the mass of money is flowing, as well as the general focus of the market. Of the Most Actives, last session's trading showed 15 advancers versus 10 decliners. Volume leaders were led by Citigroup, Inc. (NYSE:C) trading 158,347,000 shares closing at $2.97 (up 10.4%), the SPDR Trust ETF (NYSE: SPY) trading 39,335,422 shares closing at $98.09 (down 0.3%) and the PowerShares QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ: QQQQ) trading 38,284,160 shares closing at $39.47 (up 0.3%). Of last session's Greatest Percentage Losers, stocks taking the greatest monetary losses were led by Ametek Inc. (NYSE: AME) trading on volume of 685,600 shares (losing $493.7 million), Interpublic Group of Companies Inc. (NYSE: IPG) trading on volume of 6,802,200 shares (losing $365.7 million) and Office Depot, Inc. (NYSE: ODP) trading on volume of 5,710,800 shares (losing $272.2 million). Of last session's Greatest Percentage Winners, stocks making the greatest monetary gains were led by SPSS Inc. (NASDAQ: SPSS) trading on volume of 2,118,754 shares (gaining $263.2 million), Veeco Instruments Inc. (NASDAQ: VECO) trading on volume of 1,109,468 shares (gaining $174.8 million), and Elron Electronic Industries Ltd. (NASDAQ" ELRN) trading on volume of 123,964 shares (gaining $33.8 million).

The statistical source for deriving each day's The FirstAlert(tm) Money Index is StockSmart.com (http://www.stocksmart.com/ri/mostactive.staticdoc).

FirstAlert(tm) Website of the Day: http://www.museum.tv/archives/etv/D/htmlD/disneywalt/disneywalt.htm

Quote of the Day: "The key to being a good manager is keeping the people who hate me away from those who are still undecided." Casey Stengel

Today is: Independence Day in Vanuatu, National Cheesecake Day.

Happy Birthday: Emily BrontA", Henry Ford, Sid Krofft, Casey Stengel, Bud Selig, Buddy Guy, Peter Bogdanovich, Paul Anka, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Delta Burke, Laurence Fishburne, Lisa Kudrow, Vivica A. Fox, Tom Green, Hilary Swank, Jaime Pressly.

Today in History: Christopher Columbus landed in 1502 at Guanaja in the Bay Islands off the coast of Honduras during his fourth voyage. At Ticonderoga (now Crown Point, New York) in 1608, Samuel de Champlain shot and killed two Iroquois chiefs, setting the tone for French-Iroquois relations for the next one hundred years. Baltimore, Maryland was founded in 1729. Walt Disney's Flowers and Trees, the first Academy Award winning cartoon and first cartoon short to use Technicolor, premiered in 1932. Jimmy Hoffa disappeared in 1975 from the parking lot of the Machus Red Fox restaurant in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, a suburb of Detroit, at about 2:30 p.m., never to be seen or heard from again.

[FirstAlert(tm) was created by Gayle Essary, founder of Investrend Communications, Inc., parent of Investrend Information. The opinions expressed in FirstAlert(tm) do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Investrend.]

FinancialWire(tm) is a fully independent, proprietary news wire service. FinancialWire(tm) is not a press release service, and receives no compensation for its news, opinions or distributions. Further disclosure is at the FinancialWire(tm) web site (http://www.financialwire.net/disclosures.php). Contact FinancialWire(tm) directly via inquiries@financialwire.net.

Free annual reports for companies mentioned in the news are available through the Free Annual Reports Service (http://investrend.ar.wilink.com/?level=279).

http://www.financialwire.net
For full details on Caterpillar Inc (CAT) click here. Caterpillar Inc (CAT) has Short Term PowerRatings of 5. Details on Caterpillar Inc (CAT) Short Term PowerRatings is available at This Link.

    


More News:   Market Updates | Stock Alerts | All Trading News | Stock Index

Email
Print
Archives
Feedback
Email Article Link
Close X
Recipients email address
Your name
Your email
Add a note (optional)




Stocks RSS





Related News [CAT]
  UPCOMING EVENTS
Learn new strategies, how to trade in this market, and the stocks you should be focusing on each day. Join us for our free 20 minute tele-seminars during the week.
* Attendance is strictly limited and are filled on a first-come, first-served basis.
PREMIER SPONSORED LINKS
TRADE CENTER
 
The TradingMarkets Directory
RELATED SITES
Nothing but forex
Please call 1-213-955-5858 ext. 1

About TradingMarkets | Contact | Advertise | Careers | Link to Us | Site Map | Help | Terms & Conditions | Privacy Policy | Return Policy | Testimonials | Feedback

Disclaimer:

The Connors Group, Inc. ("Company") is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. The analysts and employees or affiliates of Company may hold positions in the stocks, currencies or industries discussed here. You understand and acknowledge that there is a very high degree of risk involved in trading securities and/or currencies. The Company, the authors, the publisher, and all affiliates of Company assume no responsibility or liability for your trading and investment results. Factual statements on the Company's website, or in its publications, are made as of the date stated and are subject to change without notice.

It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented in these products will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Past results of any individual trader or trading system published by Company are not indicative of future returns by that trader or system, and are not indicative of future returns which be realized by you. In addition, the indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features of Company's products (collectively, the "Information") are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Examples presented on Company's website are for educational purposes only. Such set-ups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell. Accordingly, you should not rely solely on the Information in making any investment. Rather, you should use the Information only as a starting point for doing additional independent research in order to allow you to form your own opinion regarding investments. You should always check with your licensed financial advisor and tax advisor to determine the suitability of any investment.

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING AND MAY NOT BE IMPACTED BY BROKERAGE AND OTHER SLIPPAGE FEES. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER- OR OVER-COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

The Connors Group, Inc.
10 Exchange Place, Suite 1800
Jersey City, NJ 07302

© Copyright 2009 The Connors Group, Inc.


All analyst commentary provided on TradingMarkets.com is provided for educational purposes only. The analysts and employees or affiliates of TradingMarkets.com may hold positions in the stocks or industries discussed here. This information is NOT a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Your use of this and all information contained on TradingMarkets.com is governed by the Terms and Conditions of Use. Please click the link to view those terms. Follow this link to read our Editorial Policy.

© 2009 The Connors Group, Inc.