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But by beating the Eagles on Friday at Kiggins Bowl, it's the Chieftains who have the better handle on the situation.
Columbia River spread the ball around on offense and played another solid game on defense to beat Hudson's Bay 28-14. The win means the Chieftains can wrap up the third playoff position from the Class 3A Greater St. Helens League by beating Prairie next Friday.
Should the Falcons prevail, Hudson's Bay can be part of a three-team tie for third place should the Eagles defeat Fort Vancouver. A three-team tie would require a tiebreaker to unravel.
Against Bay, River jumped ahead with two first-quarter touchdowns, including a 30-yard fumble return by Alec Polen.
"We've really played some terrific defense," Columbia River coach John O'Rourke said. "We allowed that one long drive tonight, but we've made some terrific plays."
The aggressive play of River's defensive front was instrumental.
"They do a good job. They're always moving around and creating some confusion," Bay coach Steve Stebbins said.
The Eagles surprised the Chieftains on the first play of the game with a trick double-reverse play. But a potential long touchdown pass fell incomplete.
River captured momentum with a quick 62-yard scoring drive midway through the first quarter that was quickly followed by Polen's fumble recovery.
Travis Roberts then replaced Danny Christensen at quarterback for Bay, and the Eagles marched 80 yards on 17 plays to their first touchdown.
River quarterback Neil Daly, doing most of his work on short throws, completed 12 of 24 for 126 yards. The wide-receiver screen, a key play in the River offense, played a key role in the second half.
"If I never see that play again I'll be happy," Stebbins said of River's effective wide receiver screen passes.
"He throws those real well, and they were open and we were getting the ball to our athletes on the outside," O'Rourke said.
Theisen Chang scored from five yards out on a wide-receiver screen to cap the first drive of the second half and push Columbia River's lead back to two touchdowns.
Bay closed the gap with a 22-yard touchdown pass from Roberts to Jeremy Hickman early in the fourth quarter.
But Columbia River finished off the win when Jordan Currie broke through the middle for a 36-yard scoring run on a drive when he ran for 69 yards.
"I think we kind of got preoccupied with the quarterback there," Stebbins said.
For River, the result was another step closer to the playoffs.
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