New book by Larry Connors Click here Improve your trading - See how
For a week and a half, the dollar (looking at the DXY cash dollar index) has formed a minor bottom and has climbed above its March-November resistance line, while spot gold prices have carved out a high-level trading range between $1065 and $1025. In other words, the rally in the dollar index has not (yet?) impacted spot gold prices negatively. My sense is that the DXY must hurdle and sustain above 77.40 to trigger upside acceleration in the dollar, at which point holding long spot gold positions could be very risky (near-term). Really what we are asking is if “this time is different”? Can gold and the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) find a reason to rally with the dollar? For a while, yes, but not for any extended period (IMHO). Moving over to oil, nearby crude oil prices are pressing on a very important support plateau at $76.60/50, which if violated and sustained should trigger additional weakness as the price structure returns into its prior multi-month range. My near- and intermediate-term work point to lower prices for oil and the U.S. Oil Fund ETF (NYSE: USO), especially if the dollar continues to climb, which points to a test of the 50 DMA next, at $72.80 - likely on the way to $69.00-$68.50 thereafter. For more of Mike Paulenoff, sign up for a Free 15-Day Trial to his ETF Trading Diary. (https://www.mptrader.com/reg/mmm) mptrader.com For full details on SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) click here. SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) has Short Term PowerRatings of 5. Details on SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) Short Term PowerRatings is available at This Link.
Email Print Archives Feedback Email Article Link
Close X
Related News [GLD]
UPCOMING EVENTS
Learn new strategies, how to trade in this market, and the stocks you should be focusing on each day. Join us for our free 20 minute tele-seminars during the week.
Thursday December 3 12:30 PM
* Attendance is strictly limited and are filled on a first-come, first-served basis.
The TradingMarkets Directory
Stocks
Options
Forex
E-mini/Futures
How to Trade
Tools
PowerRatings
Blogs
Premium Subscription Services
RELATED SITES
Please call 1-213-955-5858 ext. 1
About TradingMarkets | Contact | Advertise | Careers | Link to Us | Site Map | Help | Terms & Conditions | Privacy Policy | Return Policy | Testimonials | Feedback The Connors Group, Inc. ("Company") is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. The analysts and employees or affiliates of Company may hold positions in the stocks, currencies or industries discussed here. You understand and acknowledge that there is a very high degree of risk involved in trading securities and/or currencies. The Company, the authors, the publisher, and all affiliates of Company assume no responsibility or liability for your trading and investment results. Factual statements on the Company's website, or in its publications, are made as of the date stated and are subject to change without notice. It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented in these products will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Past results of any individual trader or trading system published by Company are not indicative of future returns by that trader or system, and are not indicative of future returns which be realized by you. In addition, the indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features of Company's products (collectively, the "Information") are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Examples presented on Company's website are for educational purposes only. Such set-ups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell. Accordingly, you should not rely solely on the Information in making any investment. Rather, you should use the Information only as a starting point for doing additional independent research in order to allow you to form your own opinion regarding investments. You should always check with your licensed financial advisor and tax advisor to determine the suitability of any investment. HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING AND MAY NOT BE IMPACTED BY BROKERAGE AND OTHER SLIPPAGE FEES. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER- OR OVER-COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. The Connors Group, Inc. © Copyright 2009 The Connors Group, Inc. All analyst commentary provided on TradingMarkets.com is provided for educational purposes only. The analysts and employees or affiliates of TradingMarkets.com may hold positions in the stocks or industries discussed here. This information is NOT a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Your use of this and all information contained on TradingMarkets.com is governed by the Terms and Conditions of Use. Please click the link to view those terms. Follow this link to read our Editorial Policy. © 2009 The Connors Group, Inc.
|
