IE Market Research Corporation: Czech Republic will have 14.6 million mobile subscribers in 2013 with Vodafone's market share in

"Subscriber growth has increased slightly in Czech Republic's wireless market. The industry average subscriber growth was 3.2% (YoY) in 2Q.2009, and we forecast that total wireless subscribers in Czech Republic will increase from 13.1 million in 2008 to 14.6 million in 2013," said Nizar Assanie, Vice President (Research) at IEMR. "At the operator level, our model predicts that the largest operator, T-Mobile, will see its subscriber base increase from 5.42 million in 2008 to 5.89 million in 2013. We also forecast that Telefonica will have 5.38 million subscribers and Vodafone will have 3.38 million subscribers in 2013."

"We think that the industry average ARPU level will decrease over the next five years. Our model predicts that the industry average monthly ARPU will decrease from CZK 526 in 2008 to CZK 510 in 2013. We forecast that T-Mobile's monthly ARPU will decline to CZK 477 while that of Vodafone declines to CZK 491 in 2013. However, we expect that Telefonica's ARPU level will increase from CZK 518 in 2008 to CZK 557 in 2013," said Mr. Assanie.

IEMR's Czech Republic Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 financial and operational metrics on wireless operators in Czech Republic Telefonica O2 Czech Republic, T-Mobile International AG, and Vodafone Group Plc. Notable highlights of the 4Q09 Czech Republic Mobile Operator Forecast include:

* T-Mobile's subscriber market share will be declining slightly over the next five years. Our forecasting model predicts that T-Mobile's subscriber market share will be declining slightly from 41.3% in 2008 to 40.2% in 2013. Instead, Vodafone's market share will rise from 22.0% in 2008 to 23.1% in 2013. We expect that Telefonica's share of total subscribers will remain at approximately 36.6% over the next five years.

* We forecast that the industry average EBITDA margin (calculated as EBITDA/reported revenue) will remain in the range of 45% - 48% over the next several years. T-Mobile will continue to enjoy a higher level of profitability than Telefonica and Vodafone in Czech's mobile operator space. Our model forecasts that EBITDA margins at T-Mobile, Vodafone, Telefonica will be approximately 50.1%, 42.8%, and 41.7% in 2013.

IEMR's Global Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 operational metrics of 200+ mobile operators in 50 countries, making up 80% of the world's population. Forecasts are based on our proprietary, country-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular country; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.

To purchase this report, visit our website at: http://www.iemarketresearch.com/Members/Reports/ViewReportDetail.aspx?RID=1296&flag=1

Companies Covered in this Country Mobile Operator Forecast

Telefonica O2 Czech Republic

T-Mobile International AG

Vodafone Group Plc

Annual Results & Forecasts for each of the above operators is covered in this report for: CY 2001-CY 2013. Quarterly Results & Forecasts are covered for: March 2003 - June 2011

PREPAID AND POSTPAID SUBSCRIBERS

SUBSCRIBER GROWTH (YoY)

SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR

SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS BY OPERATOR

NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR

MONTHLY CHURN BY OPERATOR

POST-PAID SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR

POST-PAID SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR

PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR

POST-PAID % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR

PREPAID/WHOLESALE % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR

POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR

POST-PAID ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR

PREPAID/WHOLESALE ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR

MONTHLY ARPU BY OPERATOR

MONTHLY ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %)

DATA % OF SERVICE REVENUES BY OPERATOR

MONTHLY DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR

DATA ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

MONTHLY VOICE ARPU BY OPERATOR

VOICE ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE BY OPERATOR

VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

MOU PER SUBSCRIBER BY OPERATOR (MINUTES/MONTH)

MOU/SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %)

SHARE OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR

HHI INDEX BY SUBSCRIBER SHARE

SHARE OF NET ADDS BY OPERATOR

SHARE OF POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR

SHARE OF PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR

SHARE OF SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR

HHI INDEX BY SERVICE REVENUE SHARE

YoY CHANGE IN REVENUE SHARE BY OPERATOR

REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)

SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)

EBITDA BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)

CAPEX BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) *

SERVICE REVENUE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

EBITDA GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)

EBITDA/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR

EBITDA/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR

EBITDA/INCREMENTAL SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR

CAPEX/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR *

CAPEX/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR *

(EBITDA-CAPEX)/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR *

EBITDA MARGIN EXPANSION/CONTRACTION BY OPERATOR

REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)

ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD)

DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD)

VOICE REV/MINUTE BY OPERATOR (USD)

SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)

EBITDA BY OPERATOR (USD)

CAPEX BY OPERATOR (USD) *

* Not available for this country forecast

CONTACT: Mr. Nizar Assanie, Vice President (Research), IE Market Research
Tel: +1 604 327 4367
e-mail: info@iemarketresearch.com

((M2 Communications disclaims all liability for information provided within M2 PressWIRE. Data supplied by named party/parties. Further information on M2 PressWIRE can be obtained at http://www.presswire.net on the world wide web. Inquiries to info@m2.com.

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