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Will Expeditors International continue its winning streak? - Earnings Preview

Tue. February 10, 2009; Posted: 03:10 AM
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(RTTNews) - Logistics services provider Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) is scheduled to announce fourth-quarter results before the market opens on Tuesday. Despite the general downturn in the economy, analysts have conflicting views about the company's results. However, Expeditors has not provided any indication about its quarterly performance.

The Seattle, Washington-based company's services include forwarding air and ocean freight, distribution management, vendor consolidating, providing cargo insurance, purchase order managing and offering customized logistics information. The company also offers breakbulk services that include receiving and breaking down consolidated airfreight lots and arranging for distribution of the individual shipments.

The company also acts as a customs broker and offers custom clearances for goods moving by rail and truck. Its customers include computer retailers, distributors of consumer electronics, department store chains, clothing and shoe wholesalers, manufacturers and catalogue stores.

When Expeditors reveals its report card for the quarter, on average, 15 analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect earnings of $0.35 per share. Revenues are estimated to be $1.53 billion. For full year 2008, the company is estimated to earn $1.37 per share on revenues of $5.85 billion. Analysts' estimates typically exclude special items.

Expeditors has been reporting increasing earnings for the past several quarters. In November 2008, the company reported a 15% increase in third-quarter profit, helped by a double-digit growth in same store net revenues. The company earned $85.57 million or $0.39 per share in the third quarter of 2008, up from $74.32 million or $0.34 per share in the same quarter of 2007. Total revenues increased 11% to $1.56 billion from $1.41 billion in the prior-year quarter.

Due to the economic crisis, consumer spending has tightened, leading to a decline in business volume for companies. Many firms have put aggressive pricing in place to tackle the situation and have adopted cost-cutting measures such as job cuts and suspension of pay to retirement fund.

A point of view in favor of Expeditor is that since the company buys in huge quantity, it is able to bargain for better rates than its customers can on their own. The profit comes from the difference in payment given to the shipping companies and charged from the customers. Secondly, Asia has been the growth area for the company, which has operations in 58 countries. So the effect of the financial meltdown could be less severe on the company.

A conflicting view is that sluggish international air and ocean freight volumes could hurt the company in the near future. While downgrading Expeditors' shares to "Sell" from "Neutral", UBS said in December 2008 that weakness in key trade routes would make it hard for the company to meet Wall Street's 2009 earnings growth expectations. The firm felt that the trans-Pacific trade corridor has been weak for over a year, and the intra-Asia and Asia-to-Europe markets have also slowed and the slowdowns are expected to worsen until the middle of next year. However, on January 23, UBS upgraded the company's stock to "Neutral" from "Sell".

Among larger players in the industry, package delivery giant United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) last week reported a profit for the fourth quarter compared to a loss last year, which included a hefty charge related to a new pension plan. UPS said fourth-quarter earnings were $254 million or $0.25 per share, compared to a loss of $2.641 billion or $2.52 per share for the year-ago quarter. Revenue for the quarter dropped to $12.70 billion from $13.39 billion reported for the previous-year quarter. Looking ahead to 2009, the company said the year would be one of the most difficult in its history and would only provide outlook for the first quarter due to the prevailing economic uncertainty.

FedEx Corp. (FDX | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), another packaging giant, also is hurt by the recession. FedEx announced in December 2008 a marginal rise in its second-quarter profit, and stated that it is experiencing the worst economic conditions in its 35-year operating history. While net income rose 3%, revenue edged up 1% from the year-ago period.

EXPD closed Monday's regular trade at $30.44, down $0.11 or 0.36% from the previous close, on 3.69 million shares. For the past year, the stock moved in the range of $24.05-$49.92.

For comments and feedback: contact editorial@rttnews.com Copyright(c) 2009 RealTimeTraders.com, Inc. All Rights Reserved

For full details on Expeditors International of Washington Inc (EXPD) click here. Expeditors International of Washington Inc (EXPD) has Short Term PowerRatings of 5. Details on Expeditors International of Washington Inc (EXPD) Short Term PowerRatings is available at This Link.

    


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