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Alliance Data Systems Q3 Profit Drops, Backs FY09 Earnings View, Guides FY10 - Update

Wed. October 21, 2009; Posted: 06:59 PM
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(RTTNews) - Wednesday, loyalty and marketing solutions provider Alliance Data Systems Corp.(ADS | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), said its third quarter earnings declined from a year ago, impacted by higher credit losses, foreign exchange rate fluctuations and a revenue decline in Loyalty Services segment. Earnings for the quarter topped Street estimate, revenues came in short. Looking forward, the company backed its full year 2009 earnings, and expect to exceed analysts current expectations. Alliance Data also provided its outlook for fiscal 2010, indicated to come in below market view.

The Dallas, Texas-based company's third quarter net income declined to $45.8 million or $0.83 per share from $64.8 million or $0.93 per share in the prior year quarter. Cash earnings were $77.1 million or $1.40 per share, down from $85.0 million or $1.22 per share a year ago.

On average, eighteen analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expected the company to earn $1.34 per share for the quarter. Analysts' estimates typically exclude special items.

Alliance's quarterly revenue slipped 5% to $483.2 million from $511.2 million in the previous year quarter. Excluding changes in the foreign exchange rate for the Canadian dollar, revenue would have been $493 million, representing a 4% decline year on year. Analysts were looking for revenues of $500.22 million for the quarter.

Ed Heffernan, president and chief executive officer, said the company faced three major headwinds this year: higher credit losses, foreign exchange rate fluctuations and an interest only strip gain grow-over. Credit loss rates increased over 200 basis points since 2008, equating to $90 million, followed by impacts from foreign exchange and an interest only strip gain grow-over of $40 million and $30 million, respectively.

"In our Loyalty Services segment, specifically our Canadian AIR MILES Reward Program, our key cash flow metric, miles issued, continued to ramp up from a 4-percent decline in the first quarter and a 2-percent decline in the second quarter to a positive 3-percent growth rate in the third quarter," Heffernan added.

In the Private Label Credit business, growth rate in credit sales moved from a negative performance in 2008 to growth of 3%, 6% and 13% in the first, second and third quarters of 2009 respectively.

Segment wise, Loyalty Services revenue declined 6% to $177 million from $187 million a year ago. Growth is expected to further accelerate in the fourth quarter of 2009 as the business anniversaries its first soft quarter in reward miles issued.

Epsilon Marketing Services segment revenue increased slightly to $132 million from $131 million in the prior year period. The fourth quarter is expected to deliver solid growth and Epsilon remains on track to deliver single digit growth for the year, the company said.

Private Label Services revenue rose to $96.8 million from $94.7 million in the same period last year, while Private Label Credit segment revenue slipped to $165.2 million from $182.4 million last year. Private Label is expected to return to positive performance in the fourth quarter.

Year-to-date, the company posted net income of $103.1 million or $1.78 per share, down from $161.1 million or $2.12 per share in the corresponding period last year. Revenues for the nine-month period totaled $1.424 billion, compared to $1.518 billion a year ago.

Backing its prior guidance for 2009, the company continues to expect strong double-digit earnings growth of about $5.15 cash earnings per share, an increase of 17% over the prior year. The Street currently expects earnings of $5.05 per share for the year.

For 2010, the company anticipates revenue of $2.15 billion, and cash earnings of $6.00 per share. Analysts project earnings of $6.10 per share on revenue of $2.18 billion for the year 2010.

ADS closed Wednesday's regular trading at $67.26, down $0.27 or 0.40%, on a volume of about 1.31 million shares. In after hours, the stock further lost $4.26 or 6.33% and traded at $63.00. For the 52-week period, the stock moved between $22.76 and $66.09, on a 3-month average volume of about 1.52 million shares.

For comments and feedback: contact editorial@rttnews.com Copyright(c) 2009 RTTNews.com, Inc. All Rights Reserved

For full details on Alliance Data (ADS) click here. Alliance Data (ADS) has Short Term PowerRatings of 4. Details on Alliance Data (ADS) Short Term PowerRatings is available at This Link.

    


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