Buying
deep in-the-money (ITM) options is a good way of carrying out
directional trading in this high-volatility environment.
Although
volatilities have come down quite a bit in the past four weeks or so, they have
plenty of room to fall further. As
they do, the at-the-monies (ATMs) and out-of-the-monies (OTMs) are going to be
hurt, while the deep ITMs will be relatively unaffected.
This is because deep ITM options have very little time value.
I’ve
been using deep ITM calls more than usual these past few weeks.
One reason I like them is that as the market trends upward, it naturally
experiences one- or two-day setbacks, and these setbacks affect my deep ITM
calls very little on a percentage basis. Thus
I am more comfortable seeing my position through.
And because (as mentioned) the deep ITM option has very little time
premium, I am not nervous about time decay.
On
the risk/reward scale, holding deep ITM options falls in between the higher
leverage / higher risk buying of ATM or OTM options, and the more sedate buying
of vertical debit spreads. I commented on
vertical debt spreads last time as being a good way of neutralizing
the effects of falling volatilities. However,
buying a deep ITM option can be just as good in this regard, and is more
straightforward – not involving as many transactions.
Note
that buying LEAPs
accomplishes a similar thing. However, buying deep ITM (usually nearby) listed options is
probably a little higher on the risk/reward scale because of the fact that deep
ITM options move point-for-point with their underlying.
Also note that LEAPs posses a much greater vega risk (exposure to a fall
in volatility).
Some
investors might object that deep ITM options have a wider bid / asked spread,
causing the trader to experience worse slippage. But I have not found this to be a problem in the issues I trade,
especially because I can direct my trades to the best market.
If you cannot direct your trades, placing an order in between bid / ask
is often successful.
Some
investors also object, psychologically, to paying more than a price of about 6
per option, preferring options priced between 2 and 5.
Of course the investor should realize that this is not rational.
(My mother-in-law refused to buy a stock priced above 100 --
I tried to explain to her that price itself makes no difference.
It’s the financial ratios that count.)
Holding
deep ITM calls (or puts) is like buying (or shorting) the underlying stock in a
sense, as deep ITM options move point-for-point with their underlying.
However, buying deep ITM options cost less than stock, allowing you to
either leverage up or retain cash for other investments or to just earn
interest.
For
example, let’s consider Dell stock and options. At the time of this writing, Dell is trading at 26.5 and seems to
be in the baby stages of an uptrend. To
go long, you could buy 1,000 shares of stock for $26,500.
Or you consider buying calls. The
nearby's (with three weeks to go) are currently priced as follows:
Strike Bid
Asked
Time Premium
30
3/8
1/2
7/16
27.5
1 1/8
1/1/4
1 3/16
25
2 7/16
2 5/8
1 1/16
22.5
4 3/8
4 5/8
1/2
20
6 1/2
6 3/4
1/8
Note
that the deep ITM calls have a time premium of only 1/8.
That means the passing of time and a possible volatility drop could only
take 1/8 away from you in the next three weeks!
The equivalent of 1,000 shares of stock can be had by buying just 10 of
these for $6,750. In effect, it’s
like buying a cheap, $6 stock and hoping it goes to $9 – which will happen if
Dell simply rises 3 more points.
Contrast
that with the experience of others, who typically buy the ATM or OTM options.
First, getting a 1,000-share equivalent stake would require buying 20 of
the ATM options with their delta of 50 each (as the stock moves one point, the
option would move about half a point). This
position would cost $5,250. Say the
stock moves up a bit, then pulls back over the next couple of days, returning to
its starting price. Now your option is
worth a bit less than what you paid, kind of making you wish you’d waited
until now to buy it. Then the stock
advances a couple of points. Nice, but
your options are worth about 3 at this point – up only slightly because of one
week’s time decay. Rather frustrating.
The
ITM option buyer, however, is satisfied to see his option up 2 points at the
end, and never having seen it fall below his purchase price in the meantime.
So next time you’re looking at going long (or short), consider using deep ITM calls (or puts).