Quantcast
  Free Report!
  5 Secrets to Short Term Stock Trading Success   
 



Quote


Stocks

Trading Ideas

Short Term
Long Term
All Trading Ideas


Trading Lessons

Strategies
Courses
Interviews
Glossary
All Trading Lessons


Daily Stock Setups

Connors Daily Battle Plan
Haggerty Professional
Kaltbaum Intra-day Set-ups
Short Term PowerRatings
Long Term PowerRatings
TM Indicators


Trading News

Markets Updates
Technical Alerts
Breaking News


PowerRatings

Short Term
Long Term
Charts


Indicators

Stocks
Market Bias


Quotes

Markets
Stocks
Charts
Level II
Historical Data
Options


Trading Contests

Up or Down




Systems of the Downs: Nine Oversold Stocks for Traders
By David Penn | TradingMarkets.com | January 25, 2008

When markets make short-term lows, there is often a test of those lows. That test is often more than just a technical event--it is also a test of the resolve of traders looking to buy weakness.

You can almost hear the groan when a market reverses shortly after making a short-term low. Against their better judgment, traders can't help but wish that markets that make tradable lows would rocket in straight, V-like fashion higher, barely pausing for so much as a single session, sending the shorts scrambling to cover and the apprehensive longs scurrying to pile into the market late.

But traders who focus on buying weakness see these tests of the lows as creating another opportunity to pick up shares on sale. While the market may have already made its low and may be in the process of merely testing that low before moving on, there are a number of stocks that have yet to make that initial low. Often these are strong stocks, stocks trading above their 200-day moving average, that need even more pronounced and sustained market weakness in order to drag them down. Thus a market testing its lows is often a signal to buy low/sell high traders that another scan is in order, that there may be even more stocks becoming oversold, dropping by large percentages or spending their fifth or more consecutive day in retreat.

Of all the ways that stocks become cheaper, of all the ways that strong stocks let traders know that they are on sale, perhaps none is more clear than when a stock has fallen for five or more consecutive days in a row. There are other techniques for spotting these stocks--from the 2-period Relative Strength Index or RSI (a personal favorite) to 10% moves lower. But for simplicity, it is hard to beat being able to scan a set of stock charts looking for five or more black candlesticks or bars in a row. If a trader finds a stock with that sort of pattern, and that pattern develops while the stock is still trading above its 200-day moving average, then our research tells us that that stock is likely to be higher one-day, two-days and one-week later.

Click here to read our research into stocks that have been down five or more consecutive sessions.

Many factors are at work when stocks move down day after day. Bargain hunters and value investors begin to see these stocks as increasingly attractive. Veteran traders look to squeeze short sellers, exploiting the greed of those who stick around trying to wring every penny from a falling stock. And mean reversion traders, traders who look to buy pullbacks, see in the pattern of a stock falling day after day after day a great opportnity to buy low and sell high, putting their money to work when fear is at an extreme, and standing ready to sell once the rest of the market catches on to the idea that a given stock is not headed to zero, after all

Below is a list of nine stocks, all of which have experienced five or more consecutive down trading sessions. All nine have PowerRatings of 8, making them among the better of the battered stocks for traders to consider. I have listed the stocks by their 2-period RSI values, lowest first, so that traders can have an even clearer idea of just how oversold these stocks are. I am also including the 100-day historical volatility figures for each stock. The 100-day historical volatility values also can be used to help traders choose those stocks that are more likely to respond to their oversold condition with significant price movement.

Enersys Inc. (ENS | news | PowerRating | PR Charts ). RSI(2): 0.66. HV(100): 41.34 (See chart below)

Icici Bank Ltd. ADS (IBN | news | PowerRating | PR Charts ). RSI(2): 0.68. HV(100): 61.18
FCStone Group (FCSX | news | PowerRating | PR Charts ). RSI(2): 1.51. HV(100): 53.80
Healthways Inc. (HWAY | news | PowerRating | PR Charts ). RSI(2): 1.75. HV(100): 37.62 (See chart below)

Pharmaceutical Product Development (PPDI | news | PowerRating | PR Charts ). RSI(2): 2.93. HV(100): 30.33
Rehabcare Group Inc. (RHB | news | PowerRating | PR Charts ). RSI(2): 3.26. HV(100): 52.29
Healthspring (HS | news | PowerRating | PR Charts ). RSI(2): 3.31. HV(100): 39.36 (See chart below)

OSI Pharmaceuticals (OSIP | news | PowerRating | PR Charts ). RSI(2): 3.58. HV(100): 34.57
Millennium Pharmaceuticals (MLNM | news | PowerRating | PR Charts ). RSI(2): 4.27. HV(100): 41.71

David Penn is Senior Editor at TradingMarkets.com


Related Articles

PREMIER SPONSORED LINKS
TRADE CENTER
 
 
 

The TradingMarkets Directory
Stocks
Quotes
Charts
How to Trade
Commentary and Analysis
PowerRatings
Training Classes
Tools
Stock Scanner
Daily Market Bias

Options
Quotes
Charts
How to Trade
Commentary and Analysis

Forex
How to Trade
Forex Momentum Index
Pivots

E-mini/Futures
Quotes
Charts
How to Trade
Daily Market Bias

How to Trade
Stocks
Options
Forex
E-mini/Futures
Glossary

Tools
Short Term PowerRatings
Long Term PowerRatings
Stock Screener
Quotes & Charts
Stock Indicators
Market bias Indicators

PowerRatings
Short Term PowerRatings
Long Term PowerRatings
Industry PowerRatings
PowerRatings Charts
Training Classes
PowerRatings Strategies
Search PowerRatings

Trading Contests
Up or Down Stock Contest
#1 - Win $1000 every month

Up or Down Forex Contest -
Win $1000 every month


Premium Subscription Services
Short Term PowerRatings Free Trial
Long Term PowerRatings Free Trial
TradingMarkets Subscription Free Trial
Daily Battle Plan Free Trial
Gary Kaltbaum - Intraday Breaking Alerts Free Trial
Kevin Haggerty Professional Trading Service Free Trial
Forex Force with Mark Whistler Free Trial

RELATED SITES
Nothing but forex





All analyst commentary provided on TradingMarkets.com is provided for educational purposes only. The analysts and employees or affiliates of TradingMarkets.com may hold positions in the stocks or industries discussed here. This information is NOT a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Your use of this and all information contained on TradingMarkets.com is governed by the Terms and Conditions of Use. Please click the link to view those terms. Follow this link to read our Editorial Policy.

© 2008 The Connors Group, Inc.