PowerRatings are the single most popular tool we have on
TradingMarkets. In this article, we will show you how you can potentially
improve your trading edge even further with PowerRatings. All it requires is
the addition of two rules.
When we first published PowerRatings beginning in 2005,
the simulated results were based upon a holding period of five days. If a stock
had a PowerRating of 9, its simulated returns were based upon buying a stock on
the opening and exiting the stock five trading days later. But, as we will teach
you here, one can dramatically improve the simulated edges in PowerRatings
further by adding two simple trading rules to them.
Here are the rules:
1. Only buy a high PowerRating stock (7 or higher) on a
limit order below yesterday’s close.
2. Instead of using a static exit and waiting for five
days, use a dynamic price exit by exiting the trade when the stock closes
above its 5-day simple moving average (SMA).
By adding these two simple rules, the simulated returns rise
substantially and expand the edges even more.
Here are the PowerRatings simulated returns from January 1995
to September 2006 using a standard five day exit.
| PowerRating |
Average % Gain |
% Correct |
No. of Trades |
| 7 |
+0.60% |
52% |
514,565 |
| 8 |
+1.21% |
53% |
366,850 |
| 9 |
+2.09% |
56% |
76,368 |
| 10 |
+3.04% |
59% |
18,841 |
| Total |
+0.99% |
53% |
976,624 |
Now let’s add the two rules mentioned above. We’ll only buy
the higher PowerRatings stocks (7 or higher) on a limit order below yesterdays
close, and we’ll exit on the opening the day following a close above the 5-day
SMA. Here are the results when we add these two rules.
The first table shows what has happened by entering a high
PowerRating stock on a limit order 3% below yesterdays close and exiting on the
open the day following a close above the 5-day SMA. As you can see, not only
does the average gain improve in all cases, but the % correct improves
substantially too.
3% Limit, 5-day SMA Exit
| PowerRating |
Average % Gain |
% Correct |
No. of Trades |
| 7 |
+1.56% |
66% |
131,425 |
| 8 |
+2.64% |
69% |
115,371 |
| 9 |
+4.05% |
73% |
26,327 |
| 10 |
+5.45% |
74% |
6,977 |
| Total |
+2.33% |
68% |
280,100 |
Here are the results for using a 5% limit and using the 5-day
SMA exit.
5% Limit, 5-day SMA Exit
| PowerRating |
Average % Gain |
% Correct |
No. of Trades |
| 7 |
+2.61% |
68% |
65,841 |
| 8 |
+3.93% |
71% |
64,145 |
| 9 |
+5.72% |
75% |
15,393 |
| 10 |
+7.18% |
76% |
4,336 |
| Total |
+3.63% |
70% |
149,715 |
Again we improve in all cases, and we now see the % correct
rise to 70% going all the way back to 1995 on 149,715 trades.
Here are the results for using a 7% limit with the 5-day SMA
exit.
7% Limit, 5-day SMA Exit
| PowerRating |
Average % Gain |
% Correct |
No. of Trades |
| 7 |
3.82% |
70% |
36,096 |
| 8 |
5.39% |
72% |
37,628 |
| 9 |
7.51% |
77% |
9,329 |
| 10 |
9.06% |
78% |
2,730 |
| Total |
+5.08% |
72% |
85,783 |
Even though the number of trades drops, the % correct rises to
72%, and the average gain per trade jumps to 5.08% per trade. The edges on
the 9’s and 10’s are even more extreme, with three out of every four signals
being profitable and returns rising to 9.06% per trade for those stocks which
had a top PowerRating of 10.
Overall, by using a limit entry and a moving average exit,
the gains rise substantially. The average gains for the 7's are more than
nine times greater than the average gain of all trades in our database going
back to 1995. And the stocks with PowerRatings of 10 have performed more than 25
times greater than the average gain of all stocks. Again, these tests go back to
1995 and include over seven million trades.
Here is an example of buying a high PowerRatings stock on a
limit order and exiting on the open after it closed above its 5-day SMA. This
trade was taken by us as we were writing this educational piece (please note
that this is an extreme example and there are no guarantees of any future trades
achieving these type of gains).

BWLD had a PowerRatings of 9 (see chart) on 02/13/07.
BWLD gapped down more than 3% the following day and had an intraday drop of more
than 4%. BWLD closed above its 5-day SMA on 02/15/07, then gapped up on
02/16/07. We exited the stock on the open for a gain of more than 19% in just
two days.
One caveat to the above is that most days, PowerRatings are
viewed by thousands of traders. Too many people entering or exiting at a fixed
price, or on the open, will potentially have an impact on price behavior (and
likely make at least a few specialists and market makers wealthier). Also, in
low volatility environments (like now), fewer stocks trade to the 4-7% levels
than in high volatility environments. Therefore, if you apply PowerRatings to
your investing and trading, please be cognizant of these facts when entering and
exiting positions.
We hope this information is helpful to you. If you would like
to attend a free class which covers this research and strategy further, please click here for the calendar of the upcoming online classes. For a free PowerRatings trial, click here. If
you have any questions on the research or the strategy please feel free to email
us at editor@tradingmarkets.com or call 213-955-5858 ext 1.
Larry Connors is CEO and Founder of TradingMarkets.com and Connors Research.
Ashton Dorkins is Editor-in-Chief of TradingMarkets.com.