Cisco Traders May See Reversal In Shares; Nvidia Likely To Widen

By | TradingMarkets.com | May 01, 2009 02:50 PM
Symbols: CSCO, LNC, DIS, NVDA

Stocks will kick off their first full week of May with earnings from Walt Disney ( DIS | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), Cisco Systems ( CSCO | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) and Lincoln National ( LNC | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), among many other. Investors will also hear the latest reading on unemployment this Friday.



Cisco Systems is slated to report its third-quarter results after the bell Wednesday, and analysts expect the company to report a profit of $0.24 per share, down from $0.38 a year ago, on revenue of $8.1 billion, according to Reuters Estimates. The stock has lost 23.7% over the past 12 months.



In the near-term, the stock has moved to favoring a reversal trend, cutting back or reversing its evening performance in next-day regular session trade in six consecutive quarters. Looking deeper into the performance data, shorts should be interested to know that Cisco has seen a negative post-bell earnings-driven trade in 14 of the 23 quarters we've tracked, and in nine of those downside evening moves the stock has followed that trade with a more aggressive negative run in the next day's regular session.



On the long side, Cisco is about evenly mixed, recording nine earnings-driven upside evening moves in the 22 quarters we've followed - widening those gains four times the next day and recording five other events where the gains were cut back or reversed the following day.



Nvidia ( NVDA | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) is set to report its first-quarter results after the bell Thursday, and analysts expect the company to report a loss of $0.11 per share, down from a profit of $0.36 a year ago, on revenue of $502.6 million. The stock has lost 42% over the past 12 months.



Traders should hold their positions if they are on the right side of the trade in the after-hours. Nvidia strongly favors a widening pattern between its after-hours move and the next day session following an evening earnings event. Shares have widened their next-day price movement in all of the last four sessions. On February 10, the stock fell 2.8% in after-hours trading and widened that move the following regular session, ending down 12.6%.



Cassie Slane is Senior Editor at www.MidnightTrader.com.

Original publication: May 01, 2009

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