No matter how long you’ve
been involved in the market, the potential is always there for a big trading
mistake – that big blunder which, at a minimum will keep you awake at night,
or worse, psychologically sabotage your trading, or even destroy you
financially.
Fortunately, the chances of
making this type of disastrous trading error tends to become more unlikely as
you gain experience. This is not to say, however, that you’ll never experience
some hairy moments in the market.
Even the best of us have been
through it. The key is can you recover from it?
I
Lewis Borsellino
"The Thursday after Black
Monday, 1987, the Shearson broker was giving an order to sell 2500 S&P
contracts and pre-market he opened the market 50.00 points lower. What happened
was that the phone clerk put the order in twice, so instead of selling 2500
contracts, they sold 5000. They had to get out of 2500 of them, and by the time
they got out, it was a $60 million error. Guess who’s order it was? George
Soros'.
(For a more detailed account of
this trade, and many more, read Lewis Borsellino’s “The
Day Trader: From the Pit to the PC.”
Carolyn Boroden
"When I first started
about 10 years ago, I was scalping E-mini Treasury bonds on the Mid-Am. I
scalped good money out of it using four-tick stops, and gave it all back, and
then some, in one trade because I didn’t use a stop. I just remember it so
well, because I was so blown away by it that I walked home from work that day
severely depressed. I had my first-ever margin call. I was emotionally destroyed.
I just remember how awful I felt. This is when I didn’t have a clue as to
methodology. I’ve never entered a trade without using a stop since!
"The summer of 1987,
takeover deals were prevalent. I remember I owned calls on Foster-Wheeler. There
were takeover rumors on the stock, and I thought there was a takeout. The Friday
before the crash was an expiration, and the calls were going out worthless. I
exercised at the close so I could own the stock; I owned the stock over the
weekend. Nobody thought the market was going to crash on Monday; I actually
thought there was a chance that it could be bought out over the weekend. The
stock, like every stock, collapsed Monday morning. I held onto the stock until
it rallied on Tuesday, but I still lost money. On top of the options, I lost
more by exercising and getting involved in the stock because I didn’t want to
miss out on the coming takeover deal.
"I also had Dayton-Hudson
options. The options ran up to a point where I was interested in selling them.
It had gotten close to $10 and I was long at 1 - 1 1/2, and I was long quite a
few. The position was worth close to $74,000 at the time — I started with
$7,000. The stock was really running that day, and they actually halted the
stock, and the options were still trading for a while and I thought I had hit a
home run. It turned out it was a bogus takeover bid by a money manager that had
gone off his rocker. Rather than sell them while the ducks were quacking, I put
a limit order in to sell at $10. They were trading over $10 -- by the time the
order got in, they were below $10. I’m on the phone with the broker, and I say
‘Put ‘em in at 9 1/2.’ They dropped to 9. They halted them and opened them
back up at five or six. Eventually, I got out of them between 1.50 and 2.00. I
think I actually had a net loss on that deal after commissions. The moral of the
story was: It’s a stock market, not a stock limit."
Gary Kaltbaum
"The worst blunders I’ve had in years were last year, where I owned highflyers and I kept holding them. The first week down on the NASDAQ they held up like a rock. The second week down they held up like a rock, and I said to myself 'Man, no matter what the market does, they’re just gonna just stay up.’ I held them, and they got hit like a rock. I went against my two most important mottos:
A) In a bear market, they
eventually get ‘em all, and
B) Regardless of A, put in stops, and I didn’t.
"Late February 2000 I was on top of the world and everything was going real well, my trading was just incredible. I got caught in the bull market blow up with everyone else. I was recommending stocks in my column — I had one stock go up 54 points the next day after I recommended it. People were e-mailing me and telling me how great I am, and I sort of let it got to my head. I was so caught up in trading I was placing trades in the labor room between my wife’s contractions. I was up 4% on that day alone. With the birth of my child, March 9 was the first day the COMP closed over 5000, and I’m thinking ‘I’m gonna have her college paid for in a week or so, no problem.’ I got caught up in everything. One thing I did notice is that I had some positions in biotechs that got whacked pretty hard that day. I didn’t see the signs. I was too caught up emotionally.
"There are a couple of
lessons there: Number one, don’t get caught up in the euphoria; number two,
don’t trade around major life events, because your head is gonna be clouded.
The lesson in this is keep your ego in check because the market will humble you,
and don’t trade around major life events. It was a most painful lesson because
I knew better — I shouldn’t have done that. If this would have happened
early on I would have said ‘Well I’m just a newbie at this, I really don’t
know what’s going on.’ That’s
the most valuable lesson I’ve ever learned.
Jon Najarian
"We always tell our guys to come home long or short because they want to; because they saw some reason to do so. Don’t let the market do it to you. Don’t let a big customer or big firm step in and buy a whole bunch of calls from you on the close. With two minutes to go is the most common time when someone that knows something would normally come in and do something like that. And then you come in the next morning short, and guess what, the guy knew something and the stock opens up. So we always tell them ‘Come in short or come in long because you saw something that you figured was a good reason.’ For instance, if you saw a big firm buying a lot of calls, that would be a good reason to come in long the next morning. If you saw a big firm buying puts, that would be a good reason to come in short.
"In 1990 one of our guys
didn’t heed that advice, and a large firm came in and bought several thousand
put options that were way out of the money. After the close, the stock had bad
news and gapped down forty dollars! That was a million-dollar mistake. That guy
is no longer with the firm. In the game we play, you see a lot of big moves
happen very quickly, and you see million-dollar profits and losses happen in
seconds. The mistake from our side was, ‘Just don’t let the market do it to
you.’ Make a conscious decision, based on all the inputs that you have, to
position yourself directionally -- which is not how we make most of our money. We
make most of our money on the bid/ask spread and on volatility trading. But if
you’re going to position directionally, do it because the inputs you saw
caused you to make that decision, not because some idiot, or some very smart
person, came in to buy or sell on the close, and by virtue of your accommodating
that person, you’re coming in long or short. If you’re a daytrader you
can’t get the stuff in at the price you want by the end of the day, just make
sure that you want to be long or you want to be short coming in tomorrow, not
just that you couldn’t get it in at a price that was a profit to you by the
end of the day. Otherwise, you can pretty much write it in stone: You’re gonna
be wrong more times than you’re gonna be right.
Tony Saliba
"This is a discipline
slip-up more than anything else -- not covering teeny options when you’re
short and have an opportunity to cover. Our practice is to pull in short options
that are parts of our spread positions whenever we can. Whether they’re
theoretically expensive or not, if they get cheap from a dollar standpoint -- we
have different rules of thumb depending upon the stock, if they’re under a
dollar, if they’re under 50 cents -- we like to just to take them off the
sheets. The blunder that I’ve regretted is not doing it more often, you know,
watching them return to grow teeth and bite you in the butt. We try to be pretty
anal about it and pull in units when they get to a certain point. A number of
our spread positions in the tech sector a year ago had cheap puts that were part
of a spread position, so we were spread off. Had we been more aggressive to pull
them in, they actually to went into the money and that’s just an opportunity
cost that went by the wayside. It plays into the fear and greed factor, you
know, you see those sitting out there and they’re short and out of the money
and part of a spread and you don’t think about them. They’re an opportunity
to capitalize on a big move or big event in the market."
Goran Yordanoff
"Aside from sitting there
watching the market taking off without getting long
The moral of the story: If the crowd's doing one thing, do the other. Never take anything as a sure thing. Even though it may have happened a hundred time before, that doesn't necessarily mean it's gonna happen again.
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