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Why More And More Traders Are Trading The QQQs, Part II

By Duke Heberlein | TradingMarkets.com
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When we left off at the end of Part I, we went over a myriad of reasons for why you, as a trader, should be utilizing the versatile Nasdaq 100 Tracking Stock (QQQ | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating), known affectionately as the Q's in your trading. Liquidity, no uptick rule to worry about for short positions, and the ease of being able to capitalize on the movement of an entire basket of stocks via an index, in addition to trading individual stocks all are credible grounds to add the Q's to your watchlist.

So great, having established all the reasons why the Q's are worthy of our attention, what do we do now? Assuming you have been trading, nothing different. The same strategy and methodology you have been using on either stocks or the Nasdaq futures contract will work equally well with the QQQ.

If you have not been trading for long, or are unsure of how to look for setups in the tracking stock, follow me.

What Time Frame Do You Trade?

The first place to start is to determine what time frame you trade (or are going to trade) in. This is strictly for your own stylistic preference, since the Q's lend themselves well to all trading styles. Intermediate-term, swing, or daytrading -- one approach does not necessarily have any advantage over the others. Whatever your style is, stick to it.

Which Chart?

Some traders new to the Q's may wonder which chart they should use when looking for opportunities -- the Nasdaq 100 index (NDX | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) or the chart of the Q's. In this case, you can use either. The index is made up of the Nasdaq’s largest companies across major industry groups, including computer hardware and software, telecommunications, retail/wholesale trade and biotechnology. The tracking stock is weighted in almost exactly the same manner, so its movement closely mirrors that of the index. Therefore, key off whichever chart is comfortable for you.

Head and shoulders pattern in index is mimicked almost exactly in the tracking stock.

Basic strategies

Daytrading with the Q's

Daytrading with the Q's can be a pretty straightforward affair. Whatever your style may be, you can take advantage of the tracking stock and apply your preferred methodology to it. I like to approach daytrading with this instrument in two ways:

  • Look for a bullish or bearish bias in a bigger-picture pattern on the daily and weekly charts

OR

  • Look for a two- to five-day pattern indicating a change in direction or continuation

In both cases, you will key on the following day for an entry point on your intraday chart.

Here we have a head-and-shoulders pattern that has formed on the daily chart, and the weekly is showing a downtrend since September, 2000. We are looking for a break of the neckline on June 14. The subsequent trading gives up a couple of pattern entries on that day, a breakdown from a mini head and shoulders and a bounce off the 50% retracement of the intraday high to low.

Swing Trades

I try to keep my swing trading approach, for the most part, the same as for daytrading. The only change is the focus on the time frame -- now I am looking for a pattern to catch a two- to five-day move.

This simple pullback in a month-long downtrend allows swing traders to catch the bulk of a move to the downside of more than 7 points over four days.

The stock is now forming a Bow Tie. This has yet to play out, but is a good example of the patterns swing traders will find in the Q's.

Intermediate-term Trades

Since the many intermediate-term traders do not take on short positions, it is hard to find recent examples of a good intermediate-term setup, since the trend has been down and no real base has been built in the Q's. However, the approach in this vehicle is the same as it will be for any intermediate-term trade in another stock. Most will be on the lookout for a basing formation, accompanied by improving market dynamics and a breakout on a substantial increase in volume. Those who do play the short side may find the current inverted cup-and-handle / head-and-shoulders interesting.

This second part of a three-part series was a basic look at some of the ways you can implement fundamental strategies into trading this instrument.

In the final installment, we will take a more advanced look at some of the methods TradingMarkets.com contributors Kevin Haggerty, Goran Yordanoff, Carolyn Lueck, Alan Farley and the guru of the Q's, Don Miller, employ in their own trading, using this versatile issue.

Until then, best of luck with your trading, everyone.

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