Do you have a written trading plan? Most traders don’t. In fact, the vast majority of traders have no real plan at all. Most are so anxious to begin trading that they bypass this very important step.
Trading
is fun, exciting, and at times can be very stressful. A well-written and strictly followed trading plan will improve your
bottom line, reduce stress, keep you focused and on track. Without one,
you’re lost—you’re more likely to overtrade, trade on hunches, trade
on someone else’s advice, and make a host of other hazardous mistakes.
Since trading is a business, it requires a business plan. All the companies whose stock you trade have business plans in place; all NFL teams have specific plans for dealing with every opponent.
With
a plan, you have definite rules to trade by. There will be no question about
what to do, and when to do it. You have your own trading bible, a document
you created, something you will live by.
So
where do you start? Read on.
STEP ONE -- Questionnaire
The
first step in creating your trading plan is to answer some important
questions — about you, your trading and your goals.
As you answer the following questions, you’ll be forced to think through
critical issues that will affect your trading success.
We all have "loose ends" that act to sabotage our trading, even if
only slightly; identifying these and tying them up is going to make a
positive difference. You’ll need at least an hour to
complete the questionnaire and plan. Ready?
Answer
the questions below.
When answering them, you’ll get some great ideas and insights; make sure
you jot those down as well. Don’t just mechanically go through this list
giving short answers. Take it seriously and do some real soul-searching. The
document you will create from it could change your trading life. Above all,
be honest.
1. Why do I
trade?
2. What do I trade? What do I prefer trading? What am I most comfortable with?
OTC stocks?
listed stocks?
futures?
options?
3. What time frame do I prefer to trade in? (day, swing, intermediate-term, etc.)
If
I'm a daytrader, do I ever hold a
position overnight? Under what
circumstances?
4. What position size do I trade?
Is it too large? Too small?
Do
I increase my position size when I'm feeling confident?
--What are the results?
What percent of my total account am I trading?
5.
How many positions at once am I comfortable trading?
6. What overall market conditions must be met for me to trade?
What conditions do I avoid?
7. What
are my trade entry signals? Am
I using them effectively? Do I use a combination of signals?
specific pattern(s)?
oscillators?
moving averages?
other indicators?
8.
When do I get out of a
winning position?
What are my rules? Do I have any?
9. When do I get out of losing positions?
Do I always use protective stops?
What
are my rules?
--percentage
--set dollar amount
--support/resistance levels
--volatility-based
--fear
10. What
do I do when I have a losing streak?
How
do I define a losing streak?
11. What
specific money-management tools do I use?
How much do I risk on each trade?
If I were stopped out of all my positions at once, what would the result be?
12. Do I trade both long and short?
Am I comfortable with going short?
What is my experience trading on the short side?
13. How do I trade the open? Or do I? Should I?
What
is my gap-up strategy?
What
is my gap-down strategy?
14. How do I create my watchlist?
How often do I update it?
15.
What
is my trading style? What traders do I follow?
16.
What
do traders that I admire do that I don’t do?
17.
How
much time do I spend daily outside market hours doing research/homework?
What is my routine?
Do I have a routine?
How much better would my trading be if I were more disciplined about this?
What specifically needs to be done?
18. What
is my annual income goal?
Break
it down to daily/weekly goals (i.e. $250,000 = $1000/day or $5000/week)
Or
10 points per week on 100 shares
What
do I need to do to achieve this goal?
The
next two questions are designed for new traders:
19.
How
much money will I start out with?
What
percent of my net worth does this represent?
20. When do I plan on becoming profitable? (if not already)
How long will my “tuition” period last?
When
this exercise is complete, you’ll have two things:
2. The
basis for your Written Trading Plan.
STEP
TWO – Writing Your Trading Plan
The
answers you just gave will be the basis for your Trading Plan. The questions
should have crystallized in your mind certain things you are doing
right—and wrong. Think about your answers and
the way you would want
your trading to be, the way you know it should
be. You’ll be creating a set of rules to live by--rules of your own
making.
The format is up to you. You can make this like a legal document if you want (i.e. “I, _________, will abide by the following trading plan, ” or come up with your own structure. Make your plan very specific.)
You’ll
need to address the following areas:
Goals
long-term, short-term, daily
make them specific and realistic
Tasks
what do you need to do to get
there?
Trading Rules
you’ll use these daily
make these very specific
(this is perhaps the most
important section)
For
trading rules, here are some ideas:
“I
will only trade stocks with Relative Strength over 85.”
“I
will never allow a profitable position to turn into a losing one.”
“My
daily goal is X.”
“I
will only trade 100 shares until I’m profitable for three straight months.”
The
end result is like having all the best material in the best trading books in
one document.
Again,
I emphasize that you should be very specific
and complete, including any and every trade/market condition you can think
of. Don’t leave any stone unturned. You’ll be referring to this document
in times of uncertainty, fear, greed, confusion. You get the picture. This
document will keep you out of trouble, keep you focused, and keep you on
track.
If
you get stuck, imagine what an NFL coach tells his team during Super Bowl
halftime. The talk probably has a lot to do with getting back to the basics.
Success in trading is not unlike success in professional sports: executing
the basics extremely well over and over again makes a winning season. If you
are a regular reader of this site, you KNOW what the basics are. In the heat
of battle, though, a written
reminder right in front of your face is helpful. If you don’t write this
out, it’s useless.
Make
sure you sign and date your document; this shows your commitment to it. Post
it at your workspace where it’s always visible. You’ll be referring to
it often.
To
keep you focused on only the best setups, print out a few of your ideal
chart patterns and keep them close by. These can be patterns from a book,
but it’s more effective if it’s from a real trade you did. This
reinforces the pattern(s) in your mind and reminds you what you’re looking
for. While you’re at it, print out some patterns that didn’t
work out, so you’ll stay away!
Once
your plan is written, it’s important to review it on a regular basis. This
is done for a number of reasons:
--to track
profitability
--to track how closely you are following your trading rules
--to identify areas that need improvement.
--to modify it as needed
Studies
show people with written goals tend to be more successful than those with no
goals; traders are no exception. Your trading plan is the rudder that steers
your trading in times of uncertainty. It is also the yardstick by which you
can measure your success, or lack thereof, as a trader. Following your
trading rules keeps you disciplined, especially if you’re tempted to trade
too much.
For
those of you who already have a trading plan, do you refer to it often and
follow it consistently? Why, or why not?
Have you updated your plan over time? What has been the impact on
your trading?
Finally,
keeping a trading log in conjunction with following your trading plan is a
must if you want to improve your results. A well-documented log helps you
review your good, as well as bad, trades. You’ll be able to see just how
closely you’re following your rules, and make the necessary adjustments.
Write
your plan, stick to it, and watch the positive impact on your trading.
You’ll wonder why you didn’t do it sooner.
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