One of the most
exciting financial vehicles I have seen in my trading career are the index
futures and their ability to participate in broad market moves with one trading
decision. More specifically, the "E-mini" futures contracts, or eminis, have been a focal
point of my trading as well as many other financial professionals and individual
investors.
In fact, many stock traders are finding the advantages of
trading the E-minis so compelling that they are making the switch, and like me
and many others -- they have made the E-minis their main trading vehicle.
Are you one of those traders who are making the switch from trading
stocks to trading the E-minis? Or are you perhaps thinking about it?
If
so, Parts I and II are aimed specifically at you. In Part I, I will give you a
brief overview of what the E-minis are and how they are traded. And in Part II,
I will describe to you the specific advantages of trading the Eminis.
Most stock traders
have heard of the "S&P Futures." But because you need a large amount of
money to trade them, the S&Ps are largely the domain of institutions and
large market players with deep pockets.
To open up index futures trading
to a wider spectrum of traders, the CME created smaller sized contracts called
the E-minis. The E-mini S&P 500 contract was designed with the individual
investor in mind. The contract value is 50 times the underlying index (as
opposed to 250), just 1/5 the size of the “big” contract. For example, if the
underlying value of the S&P 500 futures is 900.00, then one e-mini contract
has a value of $45,000.
Before I give you the history behind this, together
with more details, let me briefly explain what the E-minis are.
The
S&P 500 E-minis, which we’ll refer to as ES, reflects the S&P 500 class
of assets.
When you look at an S&P E-mini bar chart...

...you're looking at very close representation of the price
action in the S&P 500 Index. The S&P E-minis are therefore a great way
to trade the action in the S&P 500 Index.

Besides the S&P E-minis, I also trade the
Nasdaq-100 E-minis.
The Nasdaq E-minis (which we’ll refer to as NQ
because it reflects a common symbol used by many quote providers), like their
ETF counterparts the QQQs, are an effective way to trade the Nasdaq 100 class of
assets.
Like the S&P E-minis, when you trade the price action of the
NQs....

...you're essentially trading off the price action of the
Nasdaq-100 Index.
When somebody slaps a label of anything that
begins with "The History of..." my eyes usually glaze over. However, if you are
considering switching from trading stocks to trading the E-minis, this section
will probably have some impact on you. Once you understand the motivation behind
their creation and why they've exploded in popularity, you will probably be even
more motivated to open up your futures trading account!
The Chicago
Mercantile Exchange is the largest futures exchange in the United States and the
second largest in the world for the trading of futures. The CME offers trading
in futures contracts and options on these contracts, primarily in interest
rates, stock indexes, currencies and commodities. The CME uses two ways to bring
buyers and sellers together: open outcry on their trading floors and GLOBEX
around-the-clock electronic trading platform. The E-mini trades through GLOBEX,
but has great synergy with the larger pit-traded S&P contract.
In
1997 the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) launched the "E-mini" S&P 500
futures, which has become the fastest growing product in CME history. It was
revolutionary in that it made electronic trading open to all investor and trader
classes through GLOBEX, the CME's electronic trading platform. What else was
visionary was the size of the contract was set at one-fifth of the standard
pit-traded S&P, making it available to a broader base of traders.
What I like about the E-mini contract is that every trader is equal. The
GLOBEX system is first in/first out, and if you have a better bid/offer, you are
executed. In effect, you are in a queue and are price matched.
This
contract has met with unprecedented success. The E-mini's opening day volume was
about 7500 contracts, and recent average daily volume has seen approximately
500,000 contracts traded.
A recent single-day volume record reached
almost a million trades!
While index-based Exchange Traded Funds such the
QQQs and SPDRs (both of which I’ve traded in the past) have been catching on in
popularity, they do not compare to the substantial growth I have seen with the
E-mini futures contract. This contract has substantial liquidity and is an
excellent way to trade stock indexes.
In Part II, I
want to cover the mechanical similarities and differences between trading the
E-minis and stocks.
Let's take a look at the basics. With both E-minis and
stocks, you can go long and then close your position by selling. Also, you can
short the E-minis just as you can short a stock. But there is a big difference.
Whereas with a stock you have to wait for an uptick, there is no such
requirement with the E-minis. In essence, it is just as easy to short an E-mini
as it is to go long. More about this later.
Then there is
also the issue of "what" you are trading. With stocks, you are trading "shares."
However, with E-mini futures, you are trading "contracts." A futures contract is
a legally binding agreement to buy or sell a specific item, at a specific price,
and before a specific expiration date.
Many stock traders get hung up on
this concept, but from a practical standpoint, you are still trading on the
basis of price action.
The main thing you have to keep in mind as an
E-mini trader is that there are four contract months: March, June, September and
December. Let's say that you are holding a December contract going into
expiration month, but you want to hold that position for a longer period of
time. You can "roll" the position forward into the June contracts by
simultaneously selling your December contract and buying the March contract.
When you are long or short the S&P E-mini, you
should know the following:
The ES is priced in 25-basis-point increments
(i.e. 920.00, 920.25) and equate to $50 per contract in profit or loss for every
100-basis-point move (920.00 to 921.00).
So, if you are long one S&P
E-mini contract, and the price moves up 500 basis points, your contract value
will increase in value $250.
When you are long or short the Nasdaq-100
E-minis, a different point increment is used:
The NQ is priced in
50-basis-point increments (i.e. 980.00, 980.50) and equate to $20.00 per
contract in profit or loss for every 100-basis-point movement (i.e., from 980.00
to 981.00).
Therefore, if you are short one Nasdaq-100 E-mini contract,
and the price moves down 500 basis points, your contract value will increase in
value $100.
As with stocks, you can place both
limit orders and market orders. However, when placing stops, you must be aware
that the Globex only accepts Stop-Limit orders. In this kind of order, you must
specify a limit price when placing your stop. Once the stop price is reached,
the stop-limit order becomes a limit order to buy or to sell at the specified
price.
Most stock traders are familiar with stop-market orders. This
means that once the stop price is reached, the order becomes a market order.
Globex does not accept these.
There are many other details that I could
include in this introduction, but my main purpose is to convey the idea that if
you are stock trader, E-mini futures are not as exotic or hard to understand as
you may think they are. Please consult your broker in order to gain an in-depth
knowledge about the mechanical intricacies of E-mini trading. To give you give a
better understanding of why so many stock traders are shifting their focus to
the E-minis, in Part III I'll take you through some of their
advantages.
Let's move on and look at the many advantages that E-minis have over trading individual stocks.
But with the E-mini futures contract, you are getting a leverage factor of approximately 11:1.
For example, if the E-mini contract is trading at 900.00, you are controlling $45,000 of S&P 500 Index equities.
If your overnight margin (the amount you have to post as bond or the amount held in your account by your broker) is $4000, your leverage is also about 11:1.
When you daytrade the E-mini contract, some brokers will allow a margin of 50% of the overnight. You can see how quickly the leverage can approach over 20:1.
Think about what leverage has done for you with your home. If you buy a home for $250,000 and you put 10% down ($25,000), you will double your money if your home simply goes up 10%. You'll triple your money if it goes up by $50,000. This is the magic of leverage.
But as you know, this same leverage can bite you. If your home depreciates by 10%, you have lost all the capital you have placed in it. This is why protective stops and correct positions are essential, especially when leverage is in place. But when correctly used, the leverage in the E-mini markets allows your capital to rapidly accumulate at a far greater pace than the leverage offered to you in stocks.
Stocks officially trade from 9:30 a.m. ET to 4:00 p.m. ET, plus a few more hours in pre-market and after-hours trading. The E-minis trade throughout the day, for a total of approximately 23 hours. This is key. Why?
Let's imagine if you are long stocks and a terrorist attack occurs at 8:30 p.m. ET. What can you do about getting out of your stocks? Nothing! And you have to wait until morning to be able to get yourself out. BUT if you are long E-minis, you simply go to your screen, click a button and voila...you are flat! And in this day and age, my scenario here is unfortunately not farfetched.
You have unlimited overnight exposure with stocks. With the E-minis, your exposure is limited to the time you receive the information to the time you exit your trade.
We've all seen stocks open at half their previous day's closing price (or worse!) after they have announced negative news. This is a gut-wrenching event when it occurs.

If you
were long D & K Healthcare (DKWD) on Monday 9/16/02, you might have thought
the stock would soon attempt to break above 25. The next morning, however, you
saw your share value plunge nearly 60%. That was on news that the company had
forecast lower earnings for the first quarter.

If you held shares of IMClone Systems (IMCL) on 12/31/01, you were kicked in the gut as the stock dropped 16% when the FDA declined to accept its application for a new cancer drug.
This sort of thing has never happened to the E-minis. Yes, they gap higher or lower, sometimes 2% - 3%. But they have never gapped down to the extent that stocks sometimes do (as much as 50% - 80%!). And this lower overnight risk allows you to better plan your position size and potential risk on a trade. Remember, stocks make large overnight "holes" all the time. E-minis rarely do.
We've all had the unfortunate
experience of wanting to get short a stock at a certain price, only to see it
not uptick for quite some time. When this happens, our fill is far worse than we
hoped for and our edge was greatly diminished. Just as unpleasant are cases in
which we see a huge plunge occurring and we don't even dare to pull the trigger
because we know there is no way to avoid getting a horrible entry
price.
With the E-minis, no uptick is required. Nor do you need to
"borrow" it as you do with stocks. You simply hit the bid and you are
immediately short.
As I walk you through the real-world examples later in
my course, you will see that when my trend and momentum criteria are met, the
ease of being able to short the market provides you and me with a huge edge when
we trade the E-minis.
E-Minis Are More Difficult to Manipulate
Call me
a cynic, but when you have stocks that plunge shortly after brokerage firms make
their recommendations, plus the specialists or market makers involved -- the
possibility of manipulation exists.
And I would rather not be short a
stock that some analyst just happens to fall in love with and then watch as it
moves against me when I wake up in the morning. Also, many stocks trade thinly
due to the market makers or specialists being unwilling to take
size.
This is less of a problem with the E-minis. When they become more
popular, their liquidity will become better and better.
The E-Minis Only Have
One Personality
Individual stocks trade differently from each other. This
is because their price is controlled by individual specialist firms or market
makers. You may see exactly the same trading setup in several stocks, but they
can all react differently because of the way the specialists run their book.
This can be very frustrating.
This is not a problem with the E-minis. In
my opinion, they trade much more cleanly and smoothly than stocks, and this
makes their behavior much more predictable and easier to trade.
Stocks
are not tightly correlated to the movement of the overall market. Let's say you
felt the overall market would rise sharply. Obviously, your E-mini position
would rise with the overall market. But there is no guarantee that an individual
stock will rise, too. As you know, on good market days up to 50% of the stocks
will not rise. This leaves you at a big disadvantage. Now even though I am going
to teach you how to identify exact buying and selling opportunities, you may
want to add your own market-timing indicators to them. These market timing
indicators might include the VIX, put/call ratios, Advance/Decline Indicators,
the TRIN, etc. If you do decide to use these indicators, they are keyed off of
directly timing the market (E-minis). Individual stocks will move in a less
correlated manner to these indicators.
The bottom line is: You can have
an opinion about direction of the overall market and then try to trade an
individual stock according to your directional bias. But then even though you
are 100% correct about the market...you can still lose money because the stock
went the opposite direction of the market. With the E-minis, you don't have to
worry about it moving in a different direction from the overall
market.
In conclusion, I have given you a half dozen strong reasons why
you should trade the E-minis over stocks. There are other reasons as well which
I won't go into detail about here. But just so you know, they include tax
advantages (talk to a qualified accountant) and cost-effective
commissions.
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