Ultimate PowerRatings Trading Report: New Edges in Inverse Leveraged ETFs (FAZ, SDS, UGL, DUG, SKF)

By | TradingMarkets.com | July 28, 2010 04:14 PM
Symbols: FAS, SDS, SKF, DUG, FAZ, DGP, UGL

When markets become unidirectional, one excellent option for traders who use PowerRatings to help guide their stock, exchange-traded fund and leveraged ETF trading is to look to the inverse leveraged ETF market for potential opportunities.

Why inverse leveraged funds?

When markets are becoming extremely overbought, for example, inverse leveraged ETFs that track those market tend to become very oversold. And as these funds become oversold, their leveraged ETF PowerRatings tend to increase - sometimes dramatically.

For example, while the three-day rally in the Direxion Financial Bull 3x Shares (FAS) provides little opportunity for PowerRatings traders in and of itself, the inverse of that fund, the Direxion Financial Bear 3x Shares (FAZ) has closed lower for four out of the past three days, earning a leveraged ETF PowerRating upgrade to 9.

FAZ Chart

Another example of this type of price action can be seen in the pullback and leveraged ETF PowerRatings upgrades in the ProShares UltraShort Financials (SKF) and the ProShares UltraShort S&P 500 (SDS) (below).

SDS Chart

There are also significant leveraged ETF PowerRatings upgrades in commodity-related leveraged ETFs, as well. Closing lower for two out of the past three days on Monday was the ProShares UltraShort Oil & Gas (DUG) and a pair of leveraged gold funds: the PowerShares DB Gold Double Long Exchange Traded Note (DGP) and the ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL) (below).

ULG Chart

Looking beyond the world of leveraged ETFs, the majority of edges are on the short side (note that buying an inverse leveraged ETF is a bet on the short side) in stocks and non-leveraged funds. We have no stocks with PowerRatings of 9 or 10, and no ETFs with PowerRatings of 9 or 10, either. On the other hand, the number of stocks earning Stock PowerRatings of 2 topped 40 as of Monday's close.

All of this suggests that a profit-taking sell-off is closer than many traders and investors likely realize. Should that happen in the next few days, PowerRatings traders should be able to take profits from any number of opportunities that have developed as overbought conditions become even more overbought and the fear of June and July begins to become the complacency of August.

If you are looking for ways to improve and enhance your short term trading, why not click here to launch your free, one-week trial to our Ultimate PowerRatings: quantified analysis for stocks, ETFs and leveraged ETFs all in one number.

David Penn is Editor in Chief at TradingMarkets.com.

Original publication: July 27, 2010

How to Successfully Trade ETFs

Do you want to learn how to trade more successfully, more consistently ... and with more confidence? If so, then the TPS strategy is for you.

Hundreds, if not now thousands, of ETF traders successfully use the TPS trading strategy to find the best ETF trade set-ups each day to place winning trades.

FREE NEWSLETTERS

What Stocks and ETFs are headed up and down this week?

Our Weekly Newsletter covers this in dept and gives performance information on the previous week.

TradingMarkets Weekly Newsletter

UPCOMING EVENTS
Learn new strategies, how to trade in this market, and the stocks you should be focusing on each day. Join us for our free 20 minute tele-seminars during the week.
Tuesday February 21 01:00 PM
Presented By Phil Suarez
Thursday February 23 12:30 PM
Presented By Kevin Haggerty
* Attendance is strictly limited and seats are filled on a first-come, first-served basis.